UFC Fight Night 275 Preview
Welterweight action takes centre stage when Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates clash at UFC Fight Night 275 on Saturday, May 2nd. Carlos Prates enters following a pair of breathtaking knockout victories over Geoff Neal and former world champion Leon Edwards.
Della Maddalena has his first fight back after a crushing defeat to Islam Makhachev. That ended a run of 18 straight wins for the Australian. Can he get back to winning ways on home turf, or will Prates put his name in the hat for a title opportunity with another victory?
Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Predictions
Fight prediction: Prates via KO/TKO
One of our best MMA predictions this week is for Carlos Prates to edge a thrilling contest against Jack Della Maddalena. This is a big clash of styles between two elite-level fighters. JDM boasts control and precision, while Prates brings chaos and power to every one of his fights. The Brazilian’s ability to pull out fight-ending strikes and combinations at unpredictable moments is what has us swaying in his favour in what should be a very close contest.
Della Maddalena is one of the most composed and technically sound strikers in the division. He thrives in structured fights, where he can dictate range, manage tempo, and pick opponents apart with clean boxing combinations. His shot selection is sharp, and he rarely wastes energy. That efficiency allows him to stay dangerous across all rounds. If this fight becomes a measured, tactical contest, Della Maddalena will feel comfortable. He will look to slow the pace, avoid wild exchanges, and turn it into a chess match.
That approach is key to his path to victory. Dragging Prates into the later rounds could shift momentum in his favour. Della Maddalena has shown he can maintain composure deep into fights. He reads patterns well and adjusts as the fight develops. If he can limit early damage and force Prates into longer sequences, he could begin to take control. A slower fight reduces chaos, which is exactly what he wants.
However, Prates brings a completely different dynamic. He is at his most dangerous when fights become unpredictable and open. He thrives in chaos, where exchanges are less structured and more reactive. That is where his power becomes a major factor. Prates does not need many clean shots to change a fight. His finishing ability is real, and he carries that threat from the opening bell to the final seconds. He showed that when he knocked out Leon Edwards last November.
What stands out most is his ability to stay dangerous regardless of the fight situation. Even when things are not going his way, he remains a knockout threat. His recent performance against Ian Garry is a perfect example. He rallied late and came very close to securing a dramatic finish. That showed not only his power, but also his gas tank and belief. He does not fade mentally or physically when chasing a finish.
His endurance is crucial in a fight like this. It means Della Maddalena cannot simply survive early rounds and expect the danger to disappear. Prates will still be capable of landing a fight-ending shot late on. That constant threat forces opponents to stay cautious, which can disrupt rhythm and decision-making.
Della Maddalena will try to manage distance and dictate the pace. Prates will look to break that structure and force exchanges. If Della Maddalena can keep things technical, he has a strong chance of winning rounds. But if Prates can drag him into even brief moments of disorder, that could be enough.
His physical advantages could also be decisive here. Prates has the edge in reach and size. That allows him to land from a distance while still carrying fight-ending power. He ranks among the best UFC fighters of all time when it comes to unorthodox shot selections. Against a technical striker, that unpredictability is a major weapon.
Ultimately, this feels like a fight where both men will have success, but the decisive moments are far more likely to come from Prates. Della Maddalena’s skill and composure should keep him competitive, especially in structured exchanges. However, Prates’ power, unpredictability, and proven knack of finding finishes at any stage of a fight give him a clear edge. Over time, it only takes one lapse or one chaotic exchange for him to capitalise. Expect a close contest early, but Prates to seize his moment and secure a convincing KO/TKO victory.
Jack Della Maddalena x Carlos Prates Betting Odds
| Bet | Jack Della Maddalena Odds | Carlos Prates Odds |
| Fight Result | 10/11 | 3/4 |
| Method of Victory – KO/TKO | 14/5 | 8/5 |
| Method of Victory – Submission | 14/1 | 20/1 |
| Method of Victory – Decision | 14/5 | 3/1 |
Best Bets for Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates
| Bet | Odds |
| Prates to win | 3/4 |
| Prates to win via KO/TKO | 8/5 |
| Over 3.5 rounds | 17/20 |
Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Betting Tips
- Fight Result – Prates to win: This is our main selection for anyone betting on the UFC this weekend. While the fight is expected to be competitive, the Brazilians ability to create damage in chaotic exchanges gives him the edge. Della Maddalena will likely have success in controlled moments, but Prates only needs one opening to change the fight. His power and unpredictability make him a more dangerous fighter over 25 minutes. If you are looking for a strong outright pick, it makes sense to bet on Prates to get the job done.
- Method of Victory – Prates via KO/TKO: This is the standout angle for MMA betting. Prates is a proven finisher who can end fights at any stage. His performance against Ian Garry showed he carries power deep into fights and can rally late. Della Maddalena is durable, but he will be forced into exchanges at some point. When that happens, Prates’ power should tell. A KO/TKO finish aligns perfectly with how this fight is likely to unfold.
- Over/Under – Over 3.5 rounds: Despite backing a stoppage, the over still holds value in online sports betting markets. Della Maddalena’s style is built on control and patience, which should slow the early pace. He is unlikely to engage recklessly in the opening rounds, making a later finish more probable. Prates has also shown he can carry his power late, meaning the stoppage could come after a competitive start. This makes over 3.5 rounds a strong complementary play.
Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Della Maddalena Recent Form and Key Stats
Della Maddalena enters this fight with a professional record of 18-3 (12 KOs) after 21 fights, standing at 5’11 with a 72-inch reach. The Aussie welterweight has built a reputation as one of the cleanest boxers in the division. His style is based on precision, timing, and efficiency rather than raw power or chaos.
He puts combinations together well and rarely overextends, which helps him stay defensively sound while still scoring consistently. His ability to read opponents and adjust mid-fight is a major strength, especially in longer contests. He has also proven durable, capable of absorbing pressure and staying composed under fire.
Maddalena was on an incredible run of 18 straight victories before his last fight. That loss to Islam Makhachev was a valuable learning experience and showed the gap between elite control fighters and even the best strikers. In that fight, he struggled to impose his usual rhythm, as Makhachev consistently disrupted him with pressure, clinch work, and positional dominance. Against a chaotic and aggressive fighter like Prates, avoiding those uncomfortable phases will be critical.
Prates Recent Form and Key Stats
Carlos Prates enters this fight with a professional record of 23-7 and will have a big size advantage, standing at 6’1 with a 78-inch reach. He has established himself as one of the most dangerous knockout artists in the division, with the majority of his victories coming via KO/TKO. His style is built on pressure, aggression, and a willingness to engage in high-risk exchanges. He does not rely on controlling fights round by round. Instead, he looks to create moments where his power can take over. When those openings appear, he can end fights instantly.
He comes into this fight after knocking out Leon Edwards. Not only was it a statement win over a former champion, but it was also the first time Edwards had ever been stopped by strikes in his professional career. That underlines just how dangerous Prates’ power truly is.
A major strength in his recent form is his ability to remain a serious threat deep into fights. His performance against Ian Garry showed exactly that. Even when behind on the scorecards, he rallied late and came close to securing a stoppage. That demonstrated not just his power, but also his cardio and resilience. He can maintain intensity and belief even in difficult situations, which is crucial against a composed opponent like Jack Della Maddalena.
