Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Betting Tips
Selections suggested by our editorial team
Over 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals is our strongest play in this match. Villarreal's games have cleared the line 64% of the time and PSG's 78%, a 71% average. PSG score 2.33 a game, Villarreal concede 1.36, and the home side's 3-4 defeat away to Liverpool shows how open their European nights can get.
Both teams to score: Yes
Both teams to score is a confident yes from us. It landed in 64% of Villarreal's matches and 78% of PSG's. PSG have kept one clean sheet in their last five, the 2-0 over Lyon. Villarreal average 5.8 shots on target, plenty to test Safonov even with PSG holding the ball.
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Paris Saint-Germain to win, rated at 55% by our model. They arrive on five straight wins with 18 goals, and are unbeaten in six away from home in Ligue 1. Villarreal have won just one of five at home. Even without Dembélé, Marquinhos and Kvaratskhelia, PSG have the depth to win this.
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Verified 03/11/2026.
FinishedVillarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Betting Odds
Match result
Total
Other lines (7)
Handicap
Other lines (5)
The match is over. These odds are kept as a record of the pre-match market.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Recent Form
v 
Espanyol0–1L
v Villarreal1–2W v 
Elche0–0D v 
Napoli3–1W
v Paris Saint-Germain1–5W v 
Olympique Lyonnais2–0W v 
FC Barcelona4–2W
v Paris Saint-Germain1–3WVerified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Round of 16 | Paris Saint-GermainAway Paris Saint-Germain is the away team in this article. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2, Round of 16 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3, Round of 16 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4th to 16th not shown · 13 clubs | ||||||||||
| 17, Knockout play-off | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18, Knockout play-off | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 19, Knockout play-off | VillarrealHome Villarreal is the home team in this article. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20, Knockout play-off | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | −1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21, Knockout play-off | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | −1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22nd to 36th not shown · 15 clubs | ||||||||||
UEFA Champions League Table
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Team News
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Juan FoythMuscular problems rule out Foyth, who has shipped three bookings in six games.Verified 03/11Injury
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Alassane DiattaMuscular problems keep Diatta out, with no season figures listed for him.Verified 03/11Injury
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Ilias AkhomachA muscle injury costs Villarreal Akhomach and the two assists he has supplied.Verified 03/11Injury
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Ousmane DembéléHamstring injury sidelines Dembélé, a loss of one goal and two assists.Verified 03/11Injury
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MarquinhosHamstring trouble takes out Marquinhos, a defender with three goals this season.Verified 03/11Injury
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Khvicha KvaratskheliaA cruciate ligament tear rules Kvaratskhelia out after one goal and one assist.Verified 03/11Injury
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Nuno MendesA dead leg rules Nuno Mendes out after just three appearances this term.Verified 03/11Injury
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Alessandro LongoniA dead leg rules out goalkeeper Longoni, while Safonov keeps the gloves.Verified 03/11Injury
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain Match Preview
Our soccer predictions for the Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain match favour the current champions to win on the road. We predict PSG will beat Villarreal 2-1 at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Tuesday. Our model gives the visitors a 55% chance of leaving Spain with another victory.
PSG have won all five of their last matches, with 18 goals. That includes two 4-2 wins against two of the best football teams in the world, Manchester City and Barcelona. They beat Spanish opposition already this season and could easily reach similar numbers in this contest.
Villarreal do not have a good home record this season. They have one win from five home league games, but they can raise the stakes on a European night. The 3-1 victory against Napoli proves they have some spirit, as did the fixture against Liverpool. However, betting on the hosts to get anything from this game does not seem worth it.
Over/under betting is one market to find some value. Both sides clear over 2.5 goals most of the time, with 78% of PSG’s matches beating this line. The French side averages 2.33 goals per game and 19.8 shots. Compare this to Villarreal’s 16.4 shots and 1.36 goals conceded per match, and we could see a goal-fest this evening.
Over 3.5 goals is a risky option, but it has significantly higher returns than our predicted scoreline. Our online sportsbook has PSG to win and over 2.5 goals as a possible combination bet. Anyone looking at accumulator bets for this round of Champions League fixtures will have PSG to win, and it could be by more than one goal.
However, this is not the same high-flying PSG side that is now back-to-back European champions. There is some serious firepower missing from the lineup. Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos, Longoni, and Nuno Mendes are all out. Marquinhos has chipped in three goals from centre back and offers unbelievable cover to his forward-thinking teammates. That creates a sizeable gap in the French defensive line, which Villarreal could exploit.
However, The Yellow Submarine is without some key players as well. They are missing Foyth, Diatta, and Akhomach. Normally, we would look at handicap betting at this stage, but there is a substantial risk in this fixture. The hosts have consistently found a way to score in games, especially at the death. A late consolation is likely, especially if PSG cool their attack in the final 15 minutes with a two-goal cushion.
Champions League betting is never easy, even when you have the champions against a team struggling for consistency. Especially since the French giants are without so many key players. Nevertheless, they have an abundance of quality to win this game 1-2. It could even get worse for Villarreal if they cannot remain focused for the length of the soccer match. We could see three or four goals before halftime.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Key Players
Season figures, 2026/2027.
Three goals from midfield make him joint top scorer for Villarreal, but one red card already this season shows the edge to his game.
Ever-present in 11 games, Moleiro's four assists are joint fourth in the competition, and he has added two goals himself.
PSG's top scorer with four of their 21 goals, joint seventh in the competition, and he has featured in all nine games.
Two goals and three assists in only 280 minutes. With Dembélé and Kvaratskhelia both out, his role could grow considerably here.
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Goals Per Match
Goals scored and conceded per match. Villarreal: LaLiga · 2026/2027 season · 11 matches; Paris Saint-Germain: Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Goals by 15-Minute Period
Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.
Sample: Villarreal, LaLiga · 2026/2027 season · 11 matches; Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Shots and Possession
Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.
Sample: Villarreal, LaLiga · 2026/2027 season · 11 matches; Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score
Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.
| Line | Villarreal | Paris Saint-Germain | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 89% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 78% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 78% | 71% |
Sample: Villarreal, LaLiga · 2026/2027 season · 11 matches; Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Discipline and Set Pieces
Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.
Sample: Villarreal, LaLiga · 2026/2027 season · 11 matches; Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 03/11/2026.
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Runs and Trends
Numbers that capture each club's current form.
Sample: Villarreal, LaLiga · 2026/2027 season · 11 matches; Paris Saint-Germain, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 03/11/2026.
UEFA Champions League Fixtures
3 Tuesday November
v 
Stuttgart17:45Preview
v 
Sporting17:45Preview v 
Villa20:00Preview
v 
Bayern20:00
v 
Roma20:00
v 
Inter20:00Preview
v 
Lille20:00
v 
Slovan Bratislava20:00Preview4 Wednesday November
v 
Liverpool17:45
v 
Real Madrid17:45Preview
v 
Man City20:00
v 
Betis20:00Preview
v Napoli20:00
v 
Sabah20:00Preview
v 
Club Brugge20:00Preview
v 
Como20:00PreviewVillarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Frequently Asked Questions
Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (Ireland Time) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the league phase, Matchday 4 of the UEFA Champions League.
The fixture is live on TNT Sports 4.
Our prediction is a Paris Saint-Germain win. Our model rates them at 55%, Villarreal at 23% and the draw at 22%, with 1-2 the most likely score. PSG arrive on five straight wins.
Villarreal are without Juan Foyth, Alassane Diatta and Ilias Akhomach. PSG are missing Ousmane Dembélé, Marquinhos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Nuno Mendes and Alessandro Longoni. None are listed as doubts, so all eight are out.
Plenty. Over 2.5 goals has come up in 64% of Villarreal's games and 78% of PSG's, and both teams scored in the same shares. We expect around three goals, in line with our 1-2.
