RB Leipzig v Manchester City Prediction
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Betting Tips
Selections suggested by our editorial team
RB Leipzig or draw
Leipzig or the draw covers 84% of outcomes in our model, the safest way into this one. They have won all four Bundesliga home games without conceding a goal. Losing Nkunku costs them a scorer but not their shape. Only a City win beats this ticket, and our model gives that just 16%.
Over 2.5 goals
Three quarters of Leipzig's league games have gone over 2.5 goals and two thirds of City's have, an average of 71%. Our predicted 2-1 lands it exactly. Leipzig have cleared 1.5 goals in every single match, so the third goal is the only one this bet needs us to find.
RB Leipzig to win
Our model makes Leipzig 66% winners against City's 16%, a 50-point gap you rarely see against this opponent. City have lost two of their last five, including a home defeat to Brighton, and Semenyo is out. Leipzig answered the Bayern and Madrid hammerings with two clean-sheet wins.
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Verified 01/11/2026.
UpcomingRB Leipzig v Manchester City Betting Odds
Match result
Total
Other lines (7)
Handicap
Other lines (5)
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Key Stats
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Recent Form
v RB Leipzig0–2W v 
Elversberg4–0W
v RB Leipzig4–1L
v RB Leipzig6–1L v 
PSV1–0W
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st to 7th not shown · 7 clubs | ||||||||||
| 8, Round of 16 | FC Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 6 | WWL |
| 9, Knockout play-off | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10, Knockout play-off | Manchester CityAway Manchester City is the away team in this article. | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11, Knockout play-off | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 12, Knockout play-off | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 13th to 27th not shown · 15 clubs | ||||||||||
| 28 | Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | −5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 | AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | −5 | 3 | WLL |
| 30 | RB LeipzigHome RB Leipzig is the home team in this article. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | −5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | −6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | −3 | 1 | LLD |
| 33rd to 36th not shown · 4 clubs | ||||||||||
UEFA Champions League Table
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Head-to-Head
Last 6 meetings
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Team News
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Maxime EstèveOut with a knock, so Orbán and Lukeba pair up centrally.Verified 02/11Injury
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Marc GuiuNo EligibilityVerified 02/11Suspended
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Assan OuédraogoShoulder injury keeps him out after one appearance and one assist.Verified 02/11Injury
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Leopold ZingerleListed as suspended; third choice keeper, so Vandevoordt is unaffected.Verified 02/11Suspended
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Christopher NkunkuAdductor pain sidelines a joint top scorer with four goals in 358 minutes.Verified 02/11Injury
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Antoine SemenyoLeg injury removes two goals and three assists from City's attack.Verified 02/11Injury
Verified 02/11/2026.
RB Leipzig and Manchester City Match Preview
An out-of-form Manchester City travels to Germany for a mid-week Champions League match against RB Leipzig. Our soccer predictions favour the home side in this contest, with a 2- 1 win. We predict the Citizens will leave Leipzig without a win.
Our model gives the hosts a 66% chance of winning, with City rated at 16%. This is a huge gulf that many would not have predicted earlier in the season. The Champions League odds had City as a favourite until they lost to Villa and Brighton in consecutive Premier League matches.
Leipzig are formidable at home. They have won all four of their Bundesliga home matches this season, with an average of 4.5 goals per game and none conceded. Across all their league matches, they secured a clean sheet in 62% of them. However, recent form includes a 6-1 hammering at Bayern and a 4-1 loss in Madrid.
The response to those defeats was emphatic. They smashed Elversberg 4-0 and beat Schalke on the road 2-0. Leipzig are averaging more attempts and shots on target than City, with 17.2 and 6.9 compared to 15.3 and 5.6 for the visitors.
Anyone making soccer bets would know City are faltering. They lost two of their last five, including a 1-0 home defeat to Brighton. They narrowly beat Brighton earlier in the week in the Carabao Cup. The tie finished 2-2 and was settled by penalties, but it's fair to say the Seagulls were the better side on both occasions. This followed a 2-1 defeat at Villa the week before, meaning they are winless in the Prem in their last two.
Without Antoine Semenyo, the goals and service to Haaland have dried up. Betting against City in the Champions League is risky, as they often rise to the occasion. Leipzig are without Christopher Nkunku, which adds pressure to Rômulo and Antonio Nusa. But with the home crowd behind them, we favour a narrow RB Leipzig win.
For over/under betting, we are leaning towards over 2.5. Leipzig’s league games go over 2.5 goals 75% of the time. City has seen this line beaten 67% of the time. In fact, the hosts have cleared 1.5 goals in every one of their matches this season. The double chance on Leipzig winning or drawing is the safest option, and we predict it has an 84% success rate.
However, this is City we are talking about. It appears that in almost every season they have a wobble which seems disastrous. The goals dry up, Haaland can't get the service, and the defence makes individual mistakes. But this period rarely lasts. Remember, this squad is filled with the best Manchester City players of all time. If any squad could turn things around, it's Maresca’s.
That could open up the option of live betting on the visitors, especially since they are rock solid in the closing stages of matches this campaign. However, we feel there is one more poor performance on this side, and it will come on the road in Leipzig. 2-1 is our predicted scoreline, and it seems the most likely given City’s struggles in front of goal recently.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Key Players
Season figures, 2026/2027.
Leipzig's main creator: four goals and six assists, joint second in the Bundesliga for assists and involved in ten of their 22 goals.
Ever-present with eight appearances and 605 minutes. One goal and two assists, but his running in midfield matters more with Nkunku missing.
Nine goals in nine games, top of the Premier League scoring charts and responsible for nine of City's 20 league goals.
Three assists from defence, joint fourth in the league, plus a goal. City's most productive defender when they push forward.
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Goals Per Match
Goals scored and conceded per match. RB Leipzig: Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Manchester City: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Goals by 15-Minute Period
Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.
Sample: RB Leipzig, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Manchester City, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Shots and Possession
Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.
Sample: RB Leipzig, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Manchester City, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score
Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.
| Line | RB Leipzig | Manchester City | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 100% | 67% | 84% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 33% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 25% | 56% | 40% |
Sample: RB Leipzig, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Manchester City, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Discipline and Set Pieces
Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.
Sample: RB Leipzig, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Manchester City, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
RB Leipzig v Manchester City Runs and Trends
Numbers that capture each club's current form.
Sample: RB Leipzig, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Manchester City, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
UEFA Champions League Fixtures
3 Tuesday November
v 
Stuttgart17:45Preview
v 
Sporting17:45Preview
v 
Villa20:00Preview
v Bayern20:00Preview
v 
PSG20:00Preview
v 
Inter20:00Preview
v 
Lille20:00Preview
v 
Slovan Bratislava20:00Preview4 Wednesday November
v 
Liverpool17:45
v Real Madrid17:45Preview
v 
Betis20:00Preview
v 
Napoli20:00
v 
Sabah20:00Preview v 
Club Brugge20:00Preview
v 
Como20:00PreviewRB Leipzig v Manchester City Frequently Asked Questions
RB Leipzig v Manchester City kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 (Ireland Time) at Red Bull Arena, in the league phase, Matchday 4 of the UEFA Champions League.
The fixture is live on RTÉ2 and TNT Sports 2 on television and via RTÉ Player online.
Our prediction leans towards a home win: our model gives RB Leipzig a 66% chance, with 2-1 the likeliest score. City have won four of the last six meetings, but Leipzig are four from four at home in the Bundesliga without conceding.
Leipzig are without four men. Maxime Estève (knock) and Assan Ouédraogo (shoulder) are injured, while Marc Guiu and Leopold Zingerle are suspended. City lose Antoine Semenyo to a knee injury.
Expect goals, so we lean to the over on the over/under. 75% of Leipzig's Bundesliga games have gone over 2.5 goals, and half their goals come after the 60th minute, worth remembering in live betting if they trail at the break.
