Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Prediction
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Betting Tips
Selections suggested by our editorial team
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw
Leverkusen are the side we want onside, but with cover. Our model gives them 42% to win and the draw 24%, so Leverkusen or the draw lands 66% of the time on our numbers. Three wins from four league games at home, scoring 2.5 a game there, outweighs the two straight defeats they bring in.
Olympique de Marseille +2
Marseille +2 wins if Marseille win, draw or lose by a single goal. A Leverkusen win by exactly two settles as the handicap draw and beats this ticket, as does any three-goal margin. Our 2-1 forecast is a winner here, and Marseille average 2.22 goals a game against a Leverkusen defence shipping two.
Over 2.5 goals
Leverkusen's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 88% of the time, against 56% for Marseille, which averages out at 72%. Our predicted 2-1 clears the line on its own. With nine Leverkusen players missing, defensive cover is stretched, and both sides average over two goals scored per game.
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Verified 01/11/2026.
UpcomingBayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Betting Odds
Match result
Total
Other lines (7)
Handicap
Other lines (5)
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Recent Form
v 
VfB Stuttgart2–4L
v Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–0L
v Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2W v 
SC Freiburg2–1W
v Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4W v 
Toulouse2–0W v 
Le Havre4–3W
v Olympique de Marseille1–0L
v Olympique de Marseille2–5W v 
Olympiacos0–1LVerified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Round of 16 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2, Round of 16 | Bayer 04 LeverkusenHome Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the home team in this article. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3, Round of 16 | AFC Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4, Round of 16 | Ferencváros | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5th to 31st not shown · 27 clubs | ||||||||||
| 32 | Lech Poznań | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | −8 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 | Viktoria Plzeň | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | −5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 | Olympique de MarseilleAway Olympique de Marseille is the away team in this article. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | −5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | −6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | −9 | 0 | LLL |
UEFA Europa League Table
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Team News
-
Nathan TellaMuscular problemsVerified 04/11Injury
-
Moussa DiabyHamstring injury rules him out; one goal in 391 minutes this season.Verified 04/11Injury
-
Loïc BadéHead injury keeps the defender out after 100 minutes so far this season.Verified 04/11Injury
-
Martin TerrierHamstring InjuryVerified 04/11Injury
-
Christian KofaneHamstring injury costs Leverkusen a forward with two goals in 134 minutes.Verified 04/11Injury
-
Eliesse Ben SeghirMuscle injury rules the attacker out, removing another option off the bench.Verified 04/11Injury
-
Guéla DouéMuscle injury means the defender misses out, with 27 minutes played this season.Verified 04/11Injury
-
Victor BonifaceNo EligibilityVerified 04/11Ineligible
-
Tim OermannNo EligibilityVerified 04/11Ineligible
-
Kennet EichhornIllness rules the midfielder out, adding to a long Leverkusen list.Verified 04/11Injury
-
Derek CorneliusHip injury keeps him out, but with just 26 minutes played, little is lost.Verified 04/11Injury
Verified 04/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille Match Preview
The undefeated Bayer Leverkusen welcome winless Marseille to the BayArena on Thursday in the Europa League. Our soccer predictions favour the home side continuing their winning run in the Europa League with a 2-1 victory against the French opposition.
Our model gives Leverkusen a 42% chance of winning versus 34% for Marseille. You would expect a larger margin between the two given the German side sit second in the Europa League table, but their league form has let them down. They arrive after two straight defeats, including a 2-4 loss at home against Stuttgart.
Marseille has struggled in Europe but enters on a win streak. They dispatched Toulouse 2-0 and saw off Le Havre 4-3. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, but it’s the French team with momentum in this matchup.
While the German side has strong home form, including three out of four Bundesliga wins in Leverkusen, the injury list is a genuine worry. There are nine players out, including Diaby, Ben Seghir, Terrier, Kofane, and Boniface. That adds even more pressure on Patrik Schick with fewer creative players around him.
This is why Europa League betting is unpredictable. Leverkusen have cleared over 2.5 goals in 88% of their games this season. Marseille are less emphatic, with only 56% of their matches clearing this number. That presents a genuine opportunity for over 2.5 goals in this match.
Besides over/under betting, there are a lot of markets to consider. This includes looking into the number of corners or bookings. The home side will have to perform in front of an expectant crowd even with nine players out. That includes matching the 18.9 shots and 7.4 corners per game they have averaged so far this season.
Handicap betting is another option. Marseille +2 fits our 2-1 score prediction and is still a winner even if the match ends in a draw. A heavily rotated side that has slumped in the Bundesliga isn’t a reliable team to back by more than a single goal.
There is a clear favourite when looking at the betting odds for this match: Bayer Leverkusen. However, given the recent performances and injuries, we don’t think it will be clear-cut. Instead, a double chance wager on the hosts winning or drawing is the more sensible option. European football is unpredictable, and Marseille has the opportunity to secure their first points of the campaign.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Key Players
Season figures, 2026/2027.
Schick has scored seven of Leverkusen's 18 goals, second in the competition, and with Kofane and Boniface missing, he carries the attack alone.
Four assists put the defender joint fourth in the competition, and he has played 713 of the 720 minutes available this season.
Gouiri has six of Marseille's 20 goals plus three assists, and his 766 minutes from nine games show how much they lean on him.
Three assists from the defender, level with Gouiri as Marseille's top creator, and 733 minutes across all nine appearances.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Goals Per Match
Goals scored and conceded per match. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Olympique de Marseille: Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Goals by 15-Minute Period
Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.
Sample: Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Shots and Possession
Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.
Sample: Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score
Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.
| Line | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Olympique de Marseille | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 100% | 89% | 94% |
| 2.5 | 88% | 56% | 72% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 44% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 44% | 53% |
Sample: Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Discipline and Set Pieces
Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.
Sample: Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Runs and Trends
Numbers that capture each club's current form.
Sample: Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
UEFA Europa League Fixtures
League phase, Matchday 4All times are Irish time
4 Wednesday November
v Olympiacos0–0Preview5 Thursday November
v 
Omonia17:45Preview
v 
Ferencváros17:45Preview
v Hoffenheim17:45Preview
v 
Viktoria Plzeň17:45Preview
v 
Jagiellonia17:45Preview
v 
Bournemouth17:45Preview
v 
Lyon17:45Preview
v 
Salzburg17:45Preview
v 
Juventus20:00Preview
v 
Ararat-Armenia20:00Preview
v 
Beşiktaş20:00
v 
Dinamo Zagreb20:00Preview v 
Celje20:00Preview
v 
Union SG20:00Preview
v Lech Poznań20:00Preview
v OFI Crete20:00PreviewBayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Frequently Asked Questions
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 20:00 (Ireland Time) at BayArena, in the league phase, Matchday 4 of the UEFA Europa League.
The fixture is live on TNT Sports.
Our prediction is a 2-1 Leverkusen win, with our model giving the home side 42% against 34% for Marseille. The draw sits at just 24%, and neither club has drawn any of its last five, so the odds point to a winner.
Leverkusen are without ten players: Tella, Diaby, Badé, Terrier, Kofane, Ben Seghir, Doué and Eichhorn through injury or illness, with Boniface and Oermann ineligible. Marseille lose only Derek Cornelius (hip).
Plenty. Every Leverkusen match has had more than 1.5 goals, and 88% went over 2.5, so we lean over on the over/under. In live betting, Marseille concede 54% of their goals after the 60th minute; if it is level at the hour, back a late goal.
