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Newcastle United v Everton Prediction, Betting Tips and H2H 02/11/2026

Published

 Premier League · Matchweek 9
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Home
LWLLW
VS
20:00
Everton
Everton
Away
WLLDW
Date
Monday 2 November 202620:00 hrs
Stadium
St. James' ParkNewcastle upon Tyne
Where to watch
Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League

Newcastle United v Everton Prediction

Our prediction
Win Newcastle United
43%
Draw
26%
Win Everton
31%

Verified 29/10/2026.

Our selections

Newcastle United v Everton Betting Tips

Selections suggested by our editorial team

1Double chance

Newcastle United or draw

Newcastle at home, or a draw, covers 69% of outcomes in our model, and it suits a side that has drawn half of its four home league games. Everton have not won any of their four away league matches, drawing three, so the one result this bet loses to is the one they keep failing to find.

Confidence
4 of 5

2Handicap

Everton +2

Everton +2 on the three-way handicap wins if Everton win, draw or lose by a single goal, which fits our 1-0 forecast. The risk is Newcastle winning by two or more, and a two-goal margin settles as the handicap draw. Newcastle have scored 1.2 goals per game over their last five, hardly hammering anyone.

Confidence
3 of 5

3Goals

Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals leans on Everton's away games, where they score 0.75 per match. Only a quarter of Everton's matches have gone over 3.5 goals, and our 1-0 prediction sits comfortably inside the line. Newcastle's games are livelier at 50%, but the card's 38% average still points under.

Confidence
2 of 5

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Upcoming
Sportsbook odds

Newcastle United v Everton Betting Odds

Premier League · Kick-off 20:00, Mon 2 Nov

Match result

90 minutes · three ways

Total

goals, full time
2.5 goalsMost even line
Other lines (7)
0.5 goals
1.5 goals
3.5 goals
4.5 goals
5.5 goals
6.5 goals
7.5 goals

Handicap

Full time · three ways
-1 / +1Most even line
Other lines (5)
Newcastle United -3 · Everton +3
Newcastle United -2 · Everton +2
Newcastle United +1 · Everton -1
Newcastle United +2 · Everton -2
Newcastle United +3 · Everton -3
Odds updated 08:02, Sat 31 Oct

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Recent form

Newcastle United v Everton Recent Form

Newcastle United
Last 5 matches
2W, 0D and 3L in 5 matches; 6 goals for and 9 against.
LWLLW
Thu 29 OctEvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United3–1Carabao CupL
Sun 25 OctCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United0–2Premier LeagueW
Sat 17 OctNewcastle UnitedNewcastle United v Aston VillaAston Villa0–1Premier LeagueL
Mon 12 OctCoventry CityCoventry City v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United4–1Premier LeagueL
Sat 19 SeptNewcastle UnitedNewcastle United v Hull CityHull City2–1Premier LeagueW
At home · Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches
4 PL · 1W 2D 1L
LWDD
Everton
Everton
Last 5 matches
2W, 1D and 2L in 5 matches; 6 goals for and 7 against.
WLLDW
Thu 29 OctEvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United3–1Carabao CupW
Sat 24 OctArsenalArsenal v EvertonEverton2–0Premier LeagueL
Sat 17 OctEvertonEverton v ChelseaChelsea0–2Premier LeagueL
Sun 11 OctHull CityHull City v EvertonEverton2–2Premier LeagueD
Sat 19 SeptEvertonEverton v Ipswich TownIpswich Town1–0Premier LeagueW
Away · Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches
4 PL · 0W 3D 1L
LDDD

Verified 29/10/2026.

The table

Newcastle United v Everton Standings

League standings
Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1st to 5th not shown · 5 clubs
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14 9 +5 11 DWDLD
7 Leeds United 8 2 5 1 9 6 +3 11 WDLDD
8 Newcastle UnitedHome Newcastle United is the home team in this article. 8 3 2 3 12 14 −2 11 LWLLW
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9 12 −3 11 LWDWW
10 Hull City 8 2 4 2 9 8 +1 10 DLDLD
11 EvertonAway Everton is the away team in this article. 8 2 4 2 8 9 −1 10 DWDLL
12 Ipswich Town 8 3 1 4 12 16 −4 10 WLWLD
13 AFC Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12 13 −1 9 DLLWW
14th to 20th not shown · 7 clubs
 HomeNewcastle United AwayEvertonLast five reads oldest to newest

Full table

Verified 29/10/2026.

Recent history

Newcastle United v Everton Head-to-Head

Last 10 meetings

10
Meetings analysed · since 03/2022
 Newcastle United
3
30% of the total
 Draws
2
20% of the total
 Everton
5
50% of the total
29 Oct 2026EvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United3–1Carabao Cup
28 Feb 2026Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United v EvertonEverton2–3Premier League
29 Nov 2025EvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United1–4Premier League
25 May 2025Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United v EvertonEverton0–1Premier League
5 Oct 2024EvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United0–0Premier League
2 Apr 2024Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United v EvertonEverton1–1Premier League
7 Dec 2023EvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United3–0Premier League
27 Apr 2023EvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United1–4Premier League
19 Oct 2022Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United v EvertonEverton1–0Premier League
17 Mar 2022EvertonEverton v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United1–0Premier League

Verified 29/10/2026.

Availability

Newcastle United v Everton Team News

Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Confirmed absences
  • Tino Livramento
    Knee injury rules him out, though he has managed only 33 minutes this season.
    Verified 30/10
    Injury
Probable line-up
4-2-3-1
Lukas HornicekLewis HallFabian SchärDan BurnAmar DedicNico GonzálezJoelintonHarvey BarnesJacob MurphyJoe WillockWilliam Osula
Everton
Everton
Confirmed absences
No confirmed absences
Probable line-up
4-2-3-1
Jordan PickfordJames TarkowskiJake O'BrienVitaliy MykolenkoMerlin RöhlKiernan Dewsbury-HallTyrique GeorgeBrennan JohnsonJames GarnerHarrison ArmstrongThierno Barry

Verified 30/10/2026.

The analysis

Newcastle United and Everton Match Preview

After a scintillating EFL Cup meeting between these sides, we back Newcastle to get some semblance of revenge. Our soccer predictions favour the hosts heading into Monday night football with a 1-0 win. Our model gives the Magpies a 43% chance of victory versus Everton’s 31%.

A straight bet on Newcastle to win is risky, especially since the last meeting between these teams was only a few days ago. The Magpies slumped to a 3-1 away defeat at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on 29 October. Newcastle are in poor form, losing three of their last five. They have only scored 6 in that period and conceded 9.

Everton are a solid travelling side with three draws from five. They average 0.75 goals per away day, but they shoot more than the hosts. The Toffees take 13.6 shots per game and 4.8 on target. Newcastle is not far behind with 12 shots per game and only 3.4 on target.

Handicap betting could be a saving grace in this fixture, especially since we saw four only a few days ago. Everton +2 offers cover for an away victory, a draw, or a 1-0 home win, as we predict. The hosts will look to convert more chances than they did mid-week. However, breaking that Everton defence is no straightforward task, even for the best sides in the league.

Punters who have been betting on soccer this season will know that the 3-1 result in the EFL Cup was a surprise. Everton’s matches going over 3.5 goals only happen 25% of the time. We are much more likely to see a closely fought contest this week as opposed to another drubbing. The Magpies will learn from their mistakes and defend a lot better in front of the expectant home crowd. Over/under betting is a genuine option, and under 3.5 feels like a winner.

The betting odds favour the hosts. While Newcastle have not lived up to the hype this campaign, they are not in free fall. Playing at St. James’ Park always offers additional inspiration, and that could be all they need to win 1-0.

The card market is another option for anyone looking at an accumulator bet or wanting to avoid the full-time result. Everton and Newcastle combine for 20 fouls and 4.7 yellow cards per game. 2.8 of those yellow cards come from a Geordie persuasion. Nico González, Yoane Wissa, and Jacob Murphy are on three bookings apiece. Our online bookmaker will offer interesting returns on any of these players picking up their fourth of the season this Monday.

While the temptation is to back Everton to do the double, that is not usually the case. Often, when a team gets demolished in the cup, they fight back even harder in the next meeting. Everton have a strong defensive unit, but we predict they will let one slip late in the day and fail to register a reply. 1-0 to Newcastle is our best bet for this fixture.

Players to watch

Newcastle United v Everton Key Players

Season figures, 2026/2027.

Harvey Barnes
 Midfielder · Newcastle United
Goals2
Assists2
Appearances8

Barnes has two goals and two assists, a hand in four of Newcastle's 12, and has played 707 of a possible 720 minutes.

Amar Dedic
 Defender · Newcastle United
Assists2
Appearances6
Minutes played448

Dedic's two assists put him joint 12th in the league from defence, level with Barnes as Newcastle's top creator in just 448 minutes.

Thierno Barry
 Attacker · Everton
Goals3
Appearances8
Minutes played685

Barry has three of Everton's eight goals, joint 10th in the scoring charts, and has featured in all eight matches. If Everton score, look to him.

James Tarkowski
 Defender · Everton
Goals1
Assists1
Appearances8

Tarkowski has played all 720 minutes, chipped in a goal and an assist, and his two bookings matter in a fixture averaging 20 fouls.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Goal output

Newcastle United v Everton Goals Per Match

Goals scored and conceded per match. Newcastle United: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches; Everton: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches.

Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Scored1.5
Conceded1.75
Everton
Everton
Scored1
Conceded1.12

Verified 29/10/2026.

When goals arrive

Newcastle United v Everton Goals by 15-Minute Period

Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.

Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
5
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
2
3
Everton
Everton
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
3
2

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches per club.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Volume and control

Newcastle United v Everton Shots and Possession

Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.

Shots per match
NEW
12.0
EVE
13.6
Shots on target per match
NEW
3.4
EVE
4.8
Average possession
NEW
51%
EVE
47%

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches per club.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Goal lines

Newcastle United v Everton Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score

Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.

Line Newcastle United Everton Average
1.5 88%  75%  82%
2.5 62%  25%  44%
3.5 50%  25%  38%
Both teams score 62%  38%  50%

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches per club.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Discipline

Newcastle United v Everton Discipline and Set Pieces

Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.

Yellow cards
2.8
NEW
1.9
EVE
Red cards
0.0
NEW
0.0
EVE
Fouls per match
11.9
NEW
8.1
EVE
Corners for
4.5
NEW
4.9
EVE
Corners against
5.5
NEW
6.0
EVE
Appointed referee: John Brooks

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches per club.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Streaks and trends

Newcastle United v Everton Runs and Trends

Numbers that capture each club's current form.

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 8 matches per club.

Verified 29/10/2026.

Premier League Fixtures

Matchweek 9All times are Irish time

31 Saturday October

Man CityManchester City v Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton15:00Man City v Brighton Preview
HullHull City v Ipswich TownIpswich15:00Hull v Ipswich Preview
CoventryCoventry City v SunderlandSunderland15:00Coventry v Sunderland Preview
BrentfordBrentford v Nottingham ForestNottm Forest15:00Brentford v Nottm Forest Preview
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth v Leeds UnitedLeeds15:00Bournemouth v Leeds Preview
TottenhamTottenham Hotspur v Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace17:30Tottenham v Crystal Palace Preview
VillaAston Villa v FulhamFulham20:00Villa v Fulham Preview

1 Sunday November

Quick questions

Newcastle United v Everton Frequently Asked Questions

Q
When is Newcastle United v Everton?

Newcastle United v Everton kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:00 (Ireland Time) at St. James' Park, in matchweek 9 of the Premier League.

Q
Where can you watch Newcastle United v Everton live?

The fixture is live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.

Q
What is the prediction for Newcastle United v Everton?

Our prediction leans towards Newcastle: 43% for the home win, 31% for Everton and 26% for the draw, with 1-0 the likeliest score. We prefer Newcastle or the draw at 69%.

Q
Which players will miss Newcastle United v Everton?

Tino Livramento misses out for Newcastle with a knee injury. Everton have no players reported absent, so they arrive with a full squad to pick from.

Q
How many goals are expected in Newcastle United v Everton?

Not many, on our numbers. Our 1-0 forecast and Everton's 0.75 goals per away game point to under 3.5, with only 25% of Everton's matches going over that line.

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