

Czech Republic v Spain Prediction
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Betting Tips
Selections suggested by our editorial team
Spain or draw
Spain or draw is the safest call on the card, and we'd build any slip around it. Our model rates Spain at 76% to win outright and gives the draw another 14%, so our numbers have Spain avoiding defeat 90% of the time. That leaves the hosts needing a result we rate at about one in ten.
Spain to win
We expect Spain to win this, and the outright price is where you get paid for that confidence. Our model makes Spain 76% to win, more than five times the 14% it gives the draw. Spain's odds will shorten quickly if they score early, so we'd be on before kick-off rather than chasing it once the game starts.
Under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals is a closer call than our other two, and we won't pretend otherwise. Only 25% of the home side's matches go over 3.5 goals, while Spain's games clear that line 75% of the time. The two shares average out at 50%, so we're backing the hosts to drag this into their kind of game.
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Verified 09/11/2026.
UpcomingCzech Republic v Spain Betting Odds
Match result
Total
Other lines (7)
Handicap
Other lines (5)
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Czech Republic v Spain Key Stats
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Recent Form


Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Head-to-Head
Last 6 meetings
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Team News

-
Tomáš SoučekAnkle injury keeps him out, a real loss of midfield bite against Spain.Verified 09/11Injury
-
Vladimír CoufalThigh problem rules him out, leaving the Czech back line short of experience.Verified 09/11Injury
-
Adam HlozekUnspecified injury rules him out, and with him go both Czech assists this season.Verified 09/11Injury

Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic and Spain Match Preview
Our football predictions for this match will come as no surprise. We predict Spain will beat Czechia 2-0 in Prague on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 7:45 pm, and the visitors have a 76% chance of winning according to our model.
The Czech Republic arrive in terrible form, having lost their past five games in a row. They have failed to register a single point in the Nations League so far this season, and will have an incredibly difficult time turning that around against the best football team in the world. The soccer betting odds will undoubtedly favour the visitors in this fixture.
The hosts have scored 2 and conceded 13 in their five most recent matches. Compare that to Spain, who have scored 13 and only let in 5. Spain has been undefeated since losing to Portugal on penalties at the end of the last Nations League campaign in 2025. The odds at our online sportsbook for Czechia to take home three points are incredibly high.
Anyone betting on the Nations League will know that Spain beat the Czech Republic in October this year. Two first-half goals were almost enough to seal the result until a late fightback from Michal Sadílek got the visitors on the scoreboard. A flurry of yellow cards followed, with Ladislav Krejčí picking up two inside five minutes. The man advantage was enough for Mikel Merino to put the game out of reach. By the final whistle, six players were booked, five for the Czech Republic.
In the last four head-to-head meetings, the Spanish have held the bragging rights. They have won three and drawn one in that run, proving they have Czechia’s number. The recent performances add more fuel to the fire, with the hosts averaging 5.2 shots per game with only 1.5 on target. Compare that to Spain’s 14.8 and 6.2 on target, and you have only one winner this week.
The Czech Republic will have to perform at its best without some key players. Tomáš Souček, Adam Hlozek, and Vladimír Coufal are all absent from the team sheet. Hlozek will be the biggest miss, providing both assists for their two most recent goals.
Handicap betting will be tough when going against Spain. The visitors beat Czechia in Oviedo 3-1 less than a month ago. While you could go for Czechia +2.5 in this match, we are not confident in the hosts’ ability to stay within two. Betting on Spain -1.5 makes the most sense, especially since we see this ending 2-0, but it could end up much worse.
For over/under betting, any match involving Spain has goals. Each one of their Nations League matches has gone over 2.5 goals. Most of the Czech Republic’s matches have too. You could look at betting on both teams to score for higher returns. Just remember, some of the best Czechia players will be missing in this fixture, meaning they could have less bite than normal.
The betting odds in a one-sided contest like this are always tricky to navigate. There is no value in backing Spain to win, so you have to consider other options. We think a 2-0 scoreline is fair, but Spain are yet to keep a clean sheet since beating Argentina 1-0 in the World Cup final in July. Instead, betting on a winning margin of two goals or more feels like the right play on Thursday.
Czech Republic v Spain Key Players
Season figures, 2026/2027.
Ever-present in all four matches and scorer of one of Czech Republic's two goals, he carries a frightening share of the attacking load.
270 minutes from three appearances, every one of them in full. With Coufal out, he becomes the anchor of a leaky defence.
Four goals, joint second in the competition, and a third of Spain's 12. He is the man the Czech left side must stop.
Three assists in only 220 minutes, joint third in the competition. His passing turns Spain's possession into chances the Czechs rarely survive.
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Goals Per Match
Goals scored and conceded per match. Czech Republic: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches; Spain: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches.


Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Goals by 15-Minute Period
Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.


Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Shots and Possession
Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.
Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score
Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.
| Line | Czech Republic | Spain | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 100% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Discipline and Set Pieces
Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.
Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.
Verified 09/11/2026.
Czech Republic v Spain Runs and Trends
Numbers that capture each club's current form.


Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.
Verified 09/11/2026.
UEFA Nations League Fixtures
League phase, Matchday 5All times are Irish time
12 Thursday November
13 Friday November
14 Saturday November
Czech Republic v Spain Frequently Asked Questions
Czech Republic v Spain kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (Ireland Time) at Epet Arena, in the league phase, Matchday 5 of the UEFA Nations League.
The fixture is live on Virgin Media.
Our prediction is a Spain win, with Spain -1.5 our preferred angle. They have won five on the spin and beaten the Czechs in five of the last six meetings, while the hosts have lost five straight.
Czech Republic are without Tomáš Souček (ankle), Vladimír Coufal (thigh) and Adam Hlozek (unknown injury), all ruled out. Spain report no absences, so they can pick from a full squad.
We expect over 2.5 goals. Every one of Spain's matches has cleared that line, and three quarters of Czech games have too. Spain average 3 goals a game, while the Czechs concede 2.5.



















