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Czech Republic v Spain Predictions, Betting Tips & H2H 12/11/2026

Published

 UEFA Nations League · League phase, Matchday 5
Czech Republic
Czech Republic
Home
LLLLL
VS
19:45
Spain
Spain
Away
WWWWW
Date
Thursday 12 November 202619:45 hrs
Stadium
Epet ArenaPraha
Where to watch
Virgin Media

Czech Republic v Spain Prediction

Our prediction
Win Czech Republic
10%
Draw
14%
Win Spain
76%

Verified 09/11/2026.

Our selections

Czech Republic v Spain Betting Tips

Selections suggested by our editorial team

1Double chance

Spain or draw

Spain or draw is the safest call on the card, and we'd build any slip around it. Our model rates Spain at 76% to win outright and gives the draw another 14%, so our numbers have Spain avoiding defeat 90% of the time. That leaves the hosts needing a result we rate at about one in ten.

Confidence
4 of 5
2Match result

Spain to win

We expect Spain to win this, and the outright price is where you get paid for that confidence. Our model makes Spain 76% to win, more than five times the 14% it gives the draw. Spain's odds will shorten quickly if they score early, so we'd be on before kick-off rather than chasing it once the game starts.

Confidence
3 of 5
3Goals

Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals is a closer call than our other two, and we won't pretend otherwise. Only 25% of the home side's matches go over 3.5 goals, while Spain's games clear that line 75% of the time. The two shares average out at 50%, so we're backing the hosts to drag this into their kind of game.

Confidence
2 of 5

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Upcoming
Sportsbook odds

Czech Republic v Spain Betting Odds

UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 19:45, Thu 12 Nov

Match result

90 minutes · three ways

Total

goals, full time
3.5 goalsMost even line
Other lines (7)
0.5 goals
1.5 goals
2.5 goals
4.5 goals
5.5 goals
6.5 goals
7.5 goals

Handicap

Full time · three ways
+2 / -2Most even line
Other lines (5)
Czech Republic -1 · Spain +1
Czech Republic +1 · Spain -1
Czech Republic +3 · Spain -3
Czech Republic +4 · Spain -4
Czech Republic +5 · Spain -5
Odds updated 04:59, Wed 11 Nov

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

The key numbers

Czech Republic v Spain Key Stats

83%
of their last 6 head-to-head meetings ended in a Spain win
Head-to-head
60%
of their last 5 matches ended without a goal scored
Czech Republic
100%
of their last 5 matches ended unbeaten
Spain

Verified 09/11/2026.

Recent form

Czech Republic v Spain Recent Form

Czech Republic
Last 5 matches
0W, 0D and 5L in 5 matches; 2 goals for and 13 against.
LLLLL
Tue 6 OctEnglandEngland v Czech RepublicCzech Republic3–0UEFA Nations LeagueL
Sat 3 OctSpainSpain v Czech RepublicCzech Republic3–1UEFA Nations LeagueL
Tue 29 SeptCzech RepublicCzech Republic v EnglandEngland0–2UEFA Nations LeagueL
Sat 26 SeptCzech RepublicCzech Republic v CroatiaCroatia1–2UEFA Nations LeagueL
Thu 25 JunCzech RepublicCzech Republic v MexicoMexico0–3World CupL
At home · UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 2 matches
2 PL · 0W 0D 2L
LL
Spain
Spain
Last 5 matches
5W, 0D and 0L in 5 matches; 13 goals for and 5 against.
WWWWW
Tue 6 OctCroatiaCroatia v SpainSpain1–2UEFA Nations LeagueW
Sat 3 OctSpainSpain v Czech RepublicCzech Republic3–1UEFA Nations LeagueW
Tue 29 SeptSpainSpain v CroatiaCroatia4–1UEFA Nations LeagueW
Sat 26 SeptEnglandEngland v SpainSpain2–3UEFA Nations LeagueW
Sun 19 JulSpainSpain v Argentina1–0World CupW
Away · UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 2 matches
2 PL · 2W 0D 0L
WW

Verified 09/11/2026.

Recent history

Czech Republic v Spain Head-to-Head

Last 6 meetings

6
Meetings analysed · since 03/2011
 Czech Republic
0
0% of the total
 Draws
1
17% of the total
 Spain
5
83% of the total
3 Oct 2026SpainSpain v Czech RepublicCzech Republic3–1UEFA Nations League
12 Jun 2022SpainSpain v Czech RepublicCzech Republic2–0UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2022Czech RepublicCzech Republic v SpainSpain2–2UEFA Nations League
13 Jun 2016SpainSpain v Czech RepublicCzech Republic1–0European Championship
7 Oct 2011Czech RepublicCzech Republic v SpainSpain0–2Euro Qualification
25 Mar 2011SpainSpain v Czech RepublicCzech Republic2–1Euro Qualification

Verified 09/11/2026.

Availability

Czech Republic v Spain Team News

Czech Republic
Czech Republic
Confirmed absences
  • Tomáš Souček
    Ankle injury keeps him out, a real loss of midfield bite against Spain.
    Verified 09/11
    Injury
  • Vladimír Coufal
    Thigh problem rules him out, leaving the Czech back line short of experience.
    Verified 09/11
    Injury
  • Adam Hlozek
    Unspecified injury rules him out, and with him go both Czech assists this season.
    Verified 09/11
    Injury
Probable line-up
4-2-3-1
Antonín KinskýRobin HranacMartin VitíkMatej RadostaMichal SacekJiri SlamaLukáš AmbrosPavel SulcPavel BuchaMartin ŠubertRyan Naderi
Spain
Spain
Confirmed absences
No confirmed absences
Probable line-up
4-3-3
Unai SimónPau CubarsíMarc PubillIván Fresneda CorralizaRobin Le NormandDani OlmoLamine YamalPedriFermín LópezMikel OyarzabalRoberto Fernández

Verified 09/11/2026.

The analysis

Czech Republic and Spain Match Preview

Our football predictions for this match will come as no surprise. We predict Spain will beat Czechia 2-0 in Prague on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 7:45 pm, and the visitors have a 76% chance of winning according to our model.

The Czech Republic arrive in terrible form, having lost their past five games in a row. They have failed to register a single point in the Nations League so far this season, and will have an incredibly difficult time turning that around against the best football team in the world. The soccer betting odds will undoubtedly favour the visitors in this fixture.

The hosts have scored 2 and conceded 13 in their five most recent matches. Compare that to Spain, who have scored 13 and only let in 5. Spain has been undefeated since losing to Portugal on penalties at the end of the last Nations League campaign in 2025. The odds at our online sportsbook for Czechia to take home three points are incredibly high.

Anyone betting on the Nations League will know that Spain beat the Czech Republic in October this year. Two first-half goals were almost enough to seal the result until a late fightback from Michal Sadílek got the visitors on the scoreboard. A flurry of yellow cards followed, with Ladislav Krejčí picking up two inside five minutes. The man advantage was enough for Mikel Merino to put the game out of reach. By the final whistle, six players were booked, five for the Czech Republic.

In the last four head-to-head meetings, the Spanish have held the bragging rights. They have won three and drawn one in that run, proving they have Czechia’s number. The recent performances add more fuel to the fire, with the hosts averaging 5.2 shots per game with only 1.5 on target. Compare that to Spain’s 14.8 and 6.2 on target, and you have only one winner this week.

The Czech Republic will have to perform at its best without some key players. Tomáš Souček, Adam Hlozek, and Vladimír Coufal are all absent from the team sheet. Hlozek will be the biggest miss, providing both assists for their two most recent goals.

Handicap betting will be tough when going against Spain. The visitors beat Czechia in Oviedo 3-1 less than a month ago. While you could go for Czechia +2.5 in this match, we are not confident in the hosts’ ability to stay within two. Betting on Spain -1.5 makes the most sense, especially since we see this ending 2-0, but it could end up much worse.

For over/under betting, any match involving Spain has goals. Each one of their Nations League matches has gone over 2.5 goals. Most of the Czech Republic’s matches have too. You could look at betting on both teams to score for higher returns. Just remember, some of the best Czechia players will be missing in this fixture, meaning they could have less bite than normal.

The betting odds in a one-sided contest like this are always tricky to navigate. There is no value in backing Spain to win, so you have to consider other options. We think a 2-0 scoreline is fair, but Spain are yet to keep a clean sheet since beating Argentina 1-0 in the World Cup final in July. Instead, betting on a winning margin of two goals or more feels like the right play on Thursday.

Players to watch

Czech Republic v Spain Key Players

Season figures, 2026/2027.

Jiri Slama
 Midfielder · Czech Republic
Goals1
Appearances4
Minutes played331

Ever-present in all four matches and scorer of one of Czech Republic's two goals, he carries a frightening share of the attacking load.

Robin Hranac
 Defender · Czech Republic
Appearances3
Minutes played270

270 minutes from three appearances, every one of them in full. With Coufal out, he becomes the anchor of a leaky defence.

Lamine Yamal
 Midfielder · Spain
Goals4
Assists1
Appearances4

Four goals, joint second in the competition, and a third of Spain's 12. He is the man the Czech left side must stop.

Dani Olmo
 Midfielder · Spain
Assists3
Appearances3
Minutes played220

Three assists in only 220 minutes, joint third in the competition. His passing turns Spain's possession into chances the Czechs rarely survive.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Goal output

Czech Republic v Spain Goals Per Match

Goals scored and conceded per match. Czech Republic: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches; Spain: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches.

Czech Republic
Czech Republic
Scored0.5
Conceded2.5
Spain
Spain
Scored3
Conceded1.25

Verified 09/11/2026.

When goals arrive

Czech Republic v Spain Goals by 15-Minute Period

Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.

Czech Republic
Czech Republic
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
2
Spain
Spain
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
3
0

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Volume and control

Czech Republic v Spain Shots and Possession

Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.

Shots per match
CZE
5.2
ESP
14.8
Shots on target per match
CZE
1.5
ESP
6.2
Average possession
CZE
36%
ESP
65%

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Goal lines

Czech Republic v Spain Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score

Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.

Line Czech Republic Spain Average
1.5 100%  100%  100%
2.5 75%  100%  88%
3.5 25%  75%  50%
Both teams score 50%  100%  75%

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Discipline

Czech Republic v Spain Discipline and Set Pieces

Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.

Yellow cards
2.5
CZE
1.0
ESP
Red cards
0.5
CZE
0.0
ESP
Fouls per match
11.3
CZE
11.5
ESP
Corners for
1.0
CZE
5.0
ESP
Corners against
5.8
CZE
2.8
ESP

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Streaks and trends

Czech Republic v Spain Runs and Trends

Numbers that capture each club's current form.

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

More previews from League phase, Matchday 5

UEFA Nations League Fixtures

League phase, Matchday 5All times are Irish time

12 Thursday November

TürkiyeTürkiye v BelgiumBelgium17:00Preview
EnglandEngland v CroatiaCroatia19:45Preview

13 Friday November

SerbiaSerbia v GermanyGermany19:45Preview
NetherlandsNetherlands v Greece19:45Preview

14 Saturday November

NorwayNorway v WalesWales17:00Preview
PortugalPortugal v DenmarkDenmark19:45Preview
Quick questions

Czech Republic v Spain Frequently Asked Questions

Q
When is Czech Republic v Spain?

Czech Republic v Spain kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 19:45 (Ireland Time) at Epet Arena, in the league phase, Matchday 5 of the UEFA Nations League.

Q
Where can you watch Czech Republic v Spain live?

The fixture is live on Virgin Media.

Q
What is the prediction for Czech Republic v Spain?

Our prediction is a Spain win, with Spain -1.5 our preferred angle. They have won five on the spin and beaten the Czechs in five of the last six meetings, while the hosts have lost five straight.

Q
Which players will miss Czech Republic v Spain?

Czech Republic are without Tomáš Souček (ankle), Vladimír Coufal (thigh) and Adam Hlozek (unknown injury), all ruled out. Spain report no absences, so they can pick from a full squad.

Q
How many goals are expected in Czech Republic v Spain?

We expect over 2.5 goals. Every one of Spain's matches has cleared that line, and three quarters of Czech games have too. Spain average 3 goals a game, while the Czechs concede 2.5.

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