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Scotland v North Macedonia Predictions, Betting Tips & H2H 13/11/2026

Published

 UEFA Nations League · League phase, Matchday 5
Scotland
Scotland
Home
LWLDL
VS
19:45
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Away
LLLLL
Date
Friday 13 November 202619:45 hrs
Stadium
Hampden ParkGlasgow
Where to watch
BBC Two

Scotland v North Macedonia Prediction

Our prediction
Win Scotland
62%
Draw
24%
Win North Macedonia
14%

Verified 09/11/2026.

Our selections

Scotland v North Macedonia Betting Tips

Selections suggested by our editorial team

1Both teams to score

Both teams to score: No

Our pick here is both teams to score: No, because the visitors simply don't produce games with goals at both ends. The away side's matches have seen both teams score 0% of the time. Scotland's games manage it only 25% of the time, and the card's average of 12% shows how rarely these two get involved in a shootout.

Confidence
3 of 5
2Match result

Scotland to win

We fancy Scotland to win here, and our model makes Scotland 62% to take the win. That is a proper edge for the home side. If Scotland score first, our odds on them will shorten fast, so the value is before kick-off. A slow, cagey opening would see them drift, and that drift is the time to get on in-play.

Confidence
3 of 5
3Goals

Under 2.5 goals

We'll be straight with you: under 2.5 goals is the tighter call of the three. Both sides have gone over 2.5 goals in exactly half their matches, so the goal line on its own is a coin flip. What tips us towards the under is the visitors' blunt record in front of goal. A 1-0 or 2-0 Scotland win fits everything we see.

Confidence
3 of 5

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Upcoming
Sportsbook odds

Scotland v North Macedonia Betting Odds

UEFA Nations League · Kick-off 19:45, Fri 13 Nov

Match result

90 minutes · three ways

Total

goals, full time
2.5 goalsMost even line
Other lines (7)
0.5 goals
1.5 goals
3.5 goals
4.5 goals
5.5 goals
6.5 goals
7.5 goals

Handicap

Full time · three ways
-2 / +2Most even line
Other lines (4)
Scotland -5 · North Macedonia +5
Scotland -4 · North Macedonia +4
Scotland -3 · North Macedonia +3
Scotland -1 · North Macedonia +1
Odds updated 22:40, Tue 10 Nov

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Recent form

Scotland v North Macedonia Recent Form

Scotland
Last 5 matches
1W, 1D and 3L in 5 matches; 3 goals for and 8 against.
LWLDL
Tue 6 OctScotlandScotland v SloveniaSlovenia1–2UEFA Nations LeagueL
Sat 3 OctNorth MacedoniaNorth Macedonia v ScotlandScotland0–2UEFA Nations LeagueW
Tue 29 SeptScotlandScotland v SwitzerlandSwitzerland0–3UEFA Nations LeagueL
Sat 26 SeptSloveniaSlovenia v ScotlandScotland0–0UEFA Nations LeagueD
Wed 24 JunScotlandScotland v Brazil0–3World CupL
At home · UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 2 matches
2 PL · 0W 0D 2L
LL
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Last 5 matches
0W, 0D and 5L in 5 matches; 0 goals for and 14 against.
LLLLL
Tue 6 OctSwitzerlandSwitzerland v North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia3–0UEFA Nations LeagueL
Sat 3 OctNorth MacedoniaNorth Macedonia v ScotlandScotland0–2UEFA Nations LeagueL
Tue 29 SeptSloveniaSlovenia v North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia2–0UEFA Nations LeagueL
Sat 26 SeptNorth MacedoniaNorth Macedonia v SwitzerlandSwitzerland0–3UEFA Nations LeagueL
Thu 26 MarDenmarkDenmark v North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia4–0WC Qualification EuropeL
Away · UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 2 matches
2 PL · 0W 0D 2L
LL

Verified 09/11/2026.

Recent history

Scotland v North Macedonia Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings

5
Meetings analysed · since 09/2008
 Scotland
3
60% of the total
 Draws
1
20% of the total
 North Macedonia
1
20% of the total
3 Oct 2026North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia v ScotlandScotland0–2UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2013North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia v ScotlandScotland1–2WC Qualification Europe
11 Sept 2012ScotlandScotland v North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia1–1WC Qualification Europe
5 Sept 2009ScotlandScotland v North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia2–0WC Qualification Europe
6 Sept 2008North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia v ScotlandScotland1–0WC Qualification Europe

Verified 09/11/2026.

Availability

Scotland v North Macedonia Team News

Scotland
Scotland
Confirmed absences
No confirmed absences
Probable line-up
3-4-2-1
Angus GunnLuis BinksStephen WelshJack HendryAndrew RobertsonBilly GilmourBen Gannon-DoakLewis FergusonJohn McGinnOli McBurnieRyan Christie
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Confirmed absences
No confirmed absences
Probable line-up
4-2-3-1
Davor TaleskiAndrej StojcevskiGjoko ZajkovAnes MeliqiBojan IlievskiLjupco DorievDimitar MitrovskiMatej GashtarovLuka StankovskiBojan MiovskiAzer Omeragikj

Verified 09/11/2026.

The analysis

Scotland and North Macedonia Match Preview

As the Nations League resumes, our attention shifts to Scotland as they host North Macedonia at Hampden Park in Glasgow. Our soccer predictions have the hosts winning 1-0 at the final whistle. We predict Scotland will outscore the visitors and hold them off for a clean sheet.

This is hardly a courageous pick, especially given how one-sided this match seems on paper. Our model has a Scotland victory at 62%, with North Macedonia securing all three points at 14%. The Macedonians have lost five in a row without scoring, and we don’t see that changing in this mid-week game.

Scotland are not exactly high-flying, which is not a surprise to most football betting fans. They have one win in five matches, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded. The Scots have lost both home games in the Nations League so far this season, averaging 2.5 goals conceded per match.

However, the only Scottish win so far came against North Macedonia. The Scots made the trip and came away with a 2-0 win, even with a late red card for Scott McKenna. If you are keen on placing a Nations League bet on this match, betting on another Scottish victory feels like the only sensible option.

However, that doesn’t mean that picking a winner will have good returns. Instead, you can look at over/under betting. While half the matches involving these sides have gone over 2.5 goals, that’s normally because of the opposition. North Macedonia are without a goal in eight matches, and Scotland have scored three across their last five games. Betting on under 2.5 goals is the better option, and it matches what happened when these teams last met.

Handicap betting is a far greater risk, especially if you want to support North Macedonia. You can look at Scotland, but they are averaging less than one goal per game in the tournament. Betting on them to clear by two or more is a risk not worth taking. Instead, Scotland +1 is as far as we would go using this market.

Neither side has great statistics when looking at discipline. North Macedonia averages 3 yellow cards a game, over double the 1.3 yellows the Scots pick up. However, Scotland has registered two red cards in four games, including the last time they faced this team in early October. Betting on over 4 yellow cards is a great opportunity, but it’s Scotland who give us reason to pause. An early red card could swing this game wide open for the visitors.

Live betting on this match does not make much sense as we expect the hosts to dominate the ball. Only jump into the action if North Macedonia get on the board before Scotland, and then bet on a comeback. Otherwise, we see this being a straightforward 1-0 win, but it could reach as high as 2-0 like the previous meeting.

Players to watch

Scotland v North Macedonia Key Players

Season figures, 2026/2027.

Stephen Welsh
 Defender · Scotland
Appearances4
Minutes played323

Ever-present in this Nations League campaign, Welsh has four appearances and 323 minutes, and keeping North Macedonia off the scoresheet starts with him.

Luis Binks
 Defender · Scotland
Appearances3
Minutes played270

Binks has logged 270 minutes from three appearances, a full 90 each time, with just one yellow card to his name.

Matej Gashtarov
 Midfielder · North Macedonia
Appearances4
Minutes played290

Gashtarov has featured in all four games for 290 minutes, yet North Macedonia have not scored once with him on the pitch.

Andrej Stojcevski
 Defender · North Macedonia
Appearances3
Minutes played195

Stojcevski has 195 minutes from three appearances and a booking, and he will be busy against a Scotland side averaging 14 shots a game.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Goal output

Scotland v North Macedonia Goals Per Match

Goals scored and conceded per match. Scotland: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches; North Macedonia: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches.

Scotland
Scotland
Scored0.75
Conceded1.25
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Scored0
Conceded2.5

Verified 09/11/2026.

When goals arrive

Scotland v North Macedonia Goals by 15-Minute Period

Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.

Scotland
Scotland
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
1
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
0
2

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Volume and control

Scotland v North Macedonia Shots and Possession

Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.

Shots per match
SCO
14.0
MKD
5.8
Shots on target per match
SCO
5.2
MKD
0.2
Average possession
SCO
47%
MKD
47%

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Goal lines

Scotland v North Macedonia Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score

Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.

Line Scotland North Macedonia Average
1.5 75%  100%  88%
2.5 50%  50%  50%
3.5 0%  0%  0%
Both teams score 25%  0%  12%

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Discipline

Scotland v North Macedonia Discipline and Set Pieces

Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.

Yellow cards
1.3
SCO
3.0
MKD
Red cards
0.5
SCO
0.0
MKD
Fouls per match
14.0
SCO
13.0
MKD
Corners for
4.0
SCO
1.8
MKD
Corners against
4.0
SCO
7.0
MKD

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

Streaks and trends

Scotland v North Macedonia Runs and Trends

Numbers that capture each club's current form.

Sample: UEFA Nations League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches per club.

Verified 09/11/2026.

More previews from League phase, Matchday 5

UEFA Nations League Fixtures

League phase, Matchday 5All times are Irish time

13 Friday November

SloveniaSlovenia v SwitzerlandSwitzerland19:45Preview

14 Saturday November

KosovoKosovo v IsraelIsrael14:00Preview
Georgia v HungaryHungary17:00Preview
SwedenSweden v Bosnia and Herzegovina19:45Preview
RomaniaRomania v PolandPoland19:45Preview
AustriaAustria v Republic of IrelandRepublic of Ireland19:45Preview
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland v UkraineUkraine19:45Preview
Quick questions

Scotland v North Macedonia Frequently Asked Questions

Q
When is Scotland v North Macedonia?

Scotland v North Macedonia kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 19:45 (Ireland Time) at Hampden Park, in the league phase, Matchday 5 of the UEFA Nations League.

Q
Where can you watch Scotland v North Macedonia live?

The fixture is live on BBC Two.

Q
What is the prediction for Scotland v North Macedonia?

Our prediction is a Scotland win with a clean sheet. North Macedonia have lost five straight without scoring, and Scotland beat them 2-0 on 3 October.

Q
Which players will miss Scotland v North Macedonia?

Nobody on current reports. Neither Scotland nor North Macedonia has a player listed as absent or doubtful, so both sides can pick from their full squads.

Q
How many goals are expected in Scotland v North Macedonia?

Not many. Neither side has seen a match go over 3.5 goals in this Nations League, and over 2.5 has landed in half of each side's games. We expect two goals or fewer, with Scotland scoring them.

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