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Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Predictions, Betting Tips & H2H 07/11/2026

Updated Published

 Premier League · Matchweek 10
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home
LDLLL
VS
17:30
Manchester City
Away
WLWLW
Date
Saturday 7 November 202617:30 hrs
Stadium
The City GroundNottingham
Where to watch
Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Prediction

Our prediction
Win Nottingham Forest
25%
Draw
25%
Win Manchester City
50%

Verified 04/11/2026.

Our selections

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Betting Tips

Selections suggested by our editorial team

1Double chance

Manchester City or draw

City have won six of the last nine meetings and three of their four away league games. Forest have not won any of their last five. Manchester City or draw comes in 75% of the time on our model, and the only result that beats it is a Forest win, which our numbers rate at one in four.

Confidence
4 of 5
2Handicap

Nottingham Forest +2

Forest +2 covers a Forest win, a draw or a one-goal City win, and our predicted 0-1 sits right inside that. Forest concede just 0.75 goals per home game this season. The risk is a City win by exactly two, which settles as the separate handicap draw, and three of the last nine meetings finished 2-0 to City.

Confidence
3 of 5
3Goals

Under 3.5 goals

Only 22% of Forest matches and 33% of City matches have topped 3.5 goals, and Forest's four home league games have produced three goals between them. A side that has not scored at home all season is a poor partner for a shootout, so Under 3.5 goals is the line we like here.

Confidence
2 of 5

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Verified 04/11/2026.

Upcoming
Sportsbook odds

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Betting Odds

Premier League · Kick-off 17:30, Sat 7 Nov

Match result

90 minutes · three ways

Total

goals, full time
2.5 goalsMost even line
Other lines (7)
0.5 goals
1.5 goals
3.5 goals
4.5 goals
5.5 goals
6.5 goals
7.5 goals

Handicap

Full time · three ways
+1 / -1Most even line
Other lines (5)
Nottingham Forest -2 · Manchester City +2
Nottingham Forest -1 · Manchester City +1
Nottingham Forest +2 · Manchester City -2
Nottingham Forest +3 · Manchester City -3
Nottingham Forest +4 · Manchester City -4
Odds updated 22:46, Thu 5 Nov

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

The key numbers

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Key Stats

67%
of their last 9 head-to-head meetings ended in a Manchester City win
Head-to-head
67%
of their matches went over 2.5 goals
60%
of their last 5 matches ended without a goal scored
Nottingham Forest

Verified 04/11/2026.

Recent form

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Recent Form

Nottingham Forest
Last 5 matches
0W, 1D and 4L in 5 matches; 2 goals for and 8 against.
LDLLL
Sat 31 OctBrentfordBrentford v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest2–0Premier LeagueL
Fri 23 OctIpswich TownIpswich Town v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1–1Premier LeagueD
Sun 18 OctNottingham ForestNottingham Forest v ArsenalArsenal0–1Premier LeagueL
Sun 11 OctCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3–1Premier LeagueL
Sat 19 SeptNottingham ForestNottingham Forest v Coventry CityCoventry City0–1Premier LeagueL
At home · Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches
4 PL · 0W 1D 3L
LLDL
Manchester City
Last 5 matches
3W, 0D and 2L in 5 matches; 11 goals for and 8 against.
WLWLW
Wed 4 NovRB LeipzigRB Leipzig v Manchester CityManchester City2–3UEFA Champions LeagueW
Sat 31 OctManchester CityManchester City v Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion0–1Premier LeagueL
Wed 28 OctManchester CityManchester City v Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion2–2pensCarabao CupW
Sat 24 OctAston VillaAston Villa v Manchester CityManchester City2–1Premier LeagueL
Tue 20 OctManchester CityManchester City v AEK AthensAEK Athens5–1UEFA Champions LeagueW
Away · Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches
4 PL · 3W 0D 1L
LWWW

Verified 04/11/2026.

The table

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Standings

League standings
Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1, Champions League qualifying Arsenal 9 8 0 1 14 5 +9 24 LWWWW
2, Champions League qualifying Manchester CityAway Manchester City is the away team in this article. 9 7 0 2 20 10 +10 21 WWWLL
3, Champions League qualifying Brighton & Hove Albion 9 6 1 2 24 7 +17 19 WWWLW
4, Champions League qualifying Chelsea 9 5 1 3 19 15 +4 16 LWWLW
5th to 16th not shown · 12 clubs
17 Manchester United 9 1 4 4 10 15 −5 7 DDDLL
18, Relegation Crystal Palace 9 2 1 6 9 21 −12 7 DWLLL
19, Relegation Nottingham ForestHome Nottingham Forest is the home team in this article. 9 1 3 5 6 12 −6 6 LLLDL
20, Relegation Sunderland 9 1 2 6 7 17 −10 5 LLLDL
 Champions League qualifying Relegation AwayManchester City HomeNottingham ForestLast five reads oldest to newest

Premier League Table

Verified 04/11/2026.

Recent history

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Head-to-Head

Last 9 meetings

9
Meetings analysed · since 08/2022
 Nottingham Forest
1
11% of the total
 Draws
2
22% of the total
6
67% of the total
4 Mar 2026Manchester CityManchester City v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest2–2Premier League
27 Dec 2025Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest v Manchester CityManchester City1–2Premier League
27 Apr 2025Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest v Manchester CityManchester City0–2FA Cup
8 Mar 2025Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest v Manchester CityManchester City1–0Premier League
4 Dec 2024Manchester CityManchester City v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3–0Premier League
28 Apr 2024Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest v Manchester CityManchester City0–2Premier League
23 Sept 2023Manchester CityManchester City v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest2–0Premier League
18 Feb 2023Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest v Manchester CityManchester City1–1Premier League
31 Aug 2022Manchester CityManchester City v Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest6–0Premier League

Verified 04/11/2026.

Availability

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Team News

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Confirmed absences
No confirmed absences
Probable line-up
3-4-2-1
Matz SelsMurilloJair CunhaNikola MilenkovićNeco WilliamsXaver SchlagerJames McAteeOla AinaMorgan Gibbs-WhiteDan NdoyeLiam Delap
Confirmed absences
  • Antoine Semenyo
    A knee injury rules him out, costing City two goals and three assists.
    Verified 05/11
    Injury
Probable line-up
4-3-3
Gianluigi DonnarummaRúben DiasJosko GvardiolMatheus NunesAbdukodir KhusanovElliot AndersonEnzo FernándezAyyoub BouaddiIliman NdiayeErling HaalandJérémy Doku

Verified 05/11/2026.

The analysis

Nottingham Forest and Manchester City Match Preview

Another week and another round of Premier League fixtures. Our soccer predictions for the Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City game favour the Citizens. We predict the final score will be 1-0 in City’s favour at The City Ground on Saturday.

According to our model, City has a 50% chance of winning, with a 25% chance of a draw and a 25% chance Forest win. This takes into account the form of both teams as they are currently struggling for results. The Premier League odds no longer have Manchester City as the favourites to win the league.

Nottingham Forest have failed to find the back of the net in all four home league games this season. In this run, they only have one draw to show for all their hard work. In the five most recent fixtures, they are winless, with one draw and four defeats. They have scored twice and let in eight. Betting on a side like Forest to break their duck against City would be madness.

The shooting stats are not what you would expect. Forest shoot on average 16.9 times per game with only 3.4 on target. City have 15.3 shots per match with 5.6 on target. Erling Haaland is the danger man with nine of the 20 league goals this season, and he tops the Premier League scoring charts.

As well as having one of the best Manchester City players of all time in their squad, they have plenty of depth. Antoine Semenyo is out due to a knee injury, but Jérémy Doku and Iliman Ndiaye offer creativity and chances. A match against 19th in the division could be exactly what Maresca needs to get his team back on top.

For over/under betting, we are being more cautious than normal. City have back-to-back Premier League defeats to come back from. Including a 2-1 away defeat to Villa and a 0-1 home defeat to Brighton. A 3-2 win in Leipzig will lift spirits, but we don’t see a goal-fest this weekend. Under 3.5 is where we feel comfortable, especially if City return to their best in Nottingham.

Forest +2 has better returns than any wager on the visitors. Handicap betting offers cover if Forest win, draw, or remain within one goal of City at the full-time whistle. Their home defensive record has been good, with only 0.75 goals conceded per game. It’s surprising that they have almost nothing to show for it. 

Three of the last nine meetings with City ended up 2-0 in the Citizens’ favour. The betting odds reflect this trend, but it could be tighter than expected. That is because City have been poor in the league recently, and while Forest are at the bottom of the table, they have been solid at times. The visitors will find it hard going. Their saving grace will be Forest’s inability to capitalise. Our prediction of a City victory is the way to go, and you can bet on the final score being 1-0 at our online sportsbook if you feel confident.

Players to watch

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Key Players

Season figures, 2026/2027.

Dan Ndoye
 Attacker · Nottingham Forest
Goals2
Appearances9
Minutes played600

Forest's top scorer with two of their six league goals, and the man most likely to punish City's shaky opening quarter of an hour.

Morgan Gibbs-White
 Attacker · Nottingham Forest
Goals1
Assists2
Appearances8

A hand in half of Forest's six goals, with one scored and two set up. Most of their creativity runs through him.

Erling Haaland
 Attacker · Manchester City
Goals9
Appearances9
Minutes played800

Nine goals in nine games, top of the Premier League scoring charts and responsible for nine of City's 20 league goals.

Josko Gvardiol
 Defender · Manchester City
Goals1
Assists3
Appearances9

Three assists from defence put him joint fourth in the league, and with Semenyo out his forward runs matter even more.

Verified 04/11/2026.

Goal output

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Goals Per Match

Goals scored and conceded per match. Nottingham Forest: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Manchester City: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches.

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Scored0.67
Conceded1.33
Scored2.22
Conceded1.11

Verified 04/11/2026.

When goals arrive

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Goals by 15-Minute Period

Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
4
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
5
1

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches per club.

Verified 04/11/2026.

Volume and control

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Shots and Possession

Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.

Shots per match
NFO
16.9
15.3
Shots on target per match
NFO
3.4
5.6
Average possession
NFO
48%
64%

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches per club.

Verified 04/11/2026.

Goal lines

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score

Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.

Line Nottingham Forest Manchester City Average
1.5 56%  67%  62%
2.5 33%  67%  50%
3.5 22%  33%  28%
Both teams score 44%  56%  50%

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches per club.

Verified 04/11/2026.

Discipline

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Discipline and Set Pieces

Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.

Yellow cards
2.2
NFO
1.4
MCI
Red cards
0.0
NFO
0.1
MCI
Fouls per match
14.1
NFO
11.2
MCI
Corners for
4.7
NFO
6.0
MCI
Corners against
4.1
NFO
3.9
MCI
Appointed referee: Samuel Barrott

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches per club.

Verified 04/11/2026.

Streaks and trends

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Runs and Trends

Numbers that capture each club's current form.

Sample: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches per club.

Verified 04/11/2026.

More previews from Matchweek 10

Premier League Fixtures

Matchweek 10All times are Irish time

6 Friday November

EvertonEverton v Coventry CityCoventry20:00Preview

7 Saturday November

LeedsLeeds United v Tottenham HotspurTottenham12:30Preview
FulhamFulham v Newcastle UnitedNewcastle15:00Preview
ArsenalArsenal v Hull CityHull15:00Preview

8 Sunday November

SunderlandSunderland v ChelseaChelsea14:00Preview
IpswichIpswich Town v AFC BournemouthBournemouth14:00Preview
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace v LiverpoolLiverpool14:00Preview
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion v BrentfordBrentford14:00Preview
Quick questions

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Frequently Asked Questions

Q
When is Nottingham Forest v Manchester City?

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 (Ireland Time) at The City Ground, in matchweek 10 of the Premier League.

Q
Where can you watch Nottingham Forest v Manchester City live?

The fixture is live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.

Q
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest v Manchester City?

We lean towards Manchester City. Our model gives them 50%, with Forest and the draw on 25% each, and 0-1 is the most likely score. Forest's goal drought at home is the main reason.

Q
Which players will miss Nottingham Forest v Manchester City?

Antoine Semenyo is out for City with a knee injury. Forest have no players reported absent, so they have a full squad to pick from.

Q
How many goals are expected in Nottingham Forest v Manchester City?

Not many. On average only 28% of these sides' matches go over 3.5 goals, and Forest have not scored in four home league games, so we expect a tight one with Under 3.5 the call.

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