St Patrick’s Athletic v Bohemians Prediction, Betting Tips and H2H 30/10/2026

This Friday, our soccer predictions indicate St. Pat’s will beat Bohemians in the last match of the season. Our model gives Pat’s a 47% chance of winning, much higher than the Bohs at 26%. Our estimated scoreline is 1-0, and this is a scoreline we have seen countless times this season.

As we enter the last week of the season, all eyes will be on St Patrick’s Athletic and Bohemians. They sit third and second in the LOI Premier Division, respectively, and could trade places as there are just two points between them after 35 matches. The stakes are set for a thrilling contest at Richmond Park.

St Patrick’s Athletic have remarkable home form. They concede just 0.71 goals per game and have won 10 of 17 home games this campaign. The head-to-head history indicates that this will be a low-scoring match. Half of the ten most recent meetings have ended level, four of them ending 0-0. Pat’s has three victories in that run, and the Bohs have two. 

While three of the last five matches between these clubs have ended goalless, there is a good chance of a 1-0. Our online bookmaker favours a home win after the Bohemians’ performance last week. They lost 1-0 at home to Shelbourne and could live to rue that mistake this week.

Betting on the over/under is risky for anyone expecting a goal fest. St Pat’s average over 2.5 goals in only 34% of their games. The only hope would be a free-flowing attacking display from the visitors, who have 10 away wins in 17 games. Colm Whelan has been lethal this campaign with 13 goals, but Dawson Devoy will not appear following his red card. Devoy has five assists, and without him pulling the strings in the 4-2-3-1 formation, chances could be at a premium.

Both teams have run out of steam in the run-up to the final day of the season. Pat’s drew 0-0 at Galway after suffering two straight defeats. While the results were disappointing, they only conceded three in five games. Our best bet in this fixture is the double chance. This has a 74% chance of success, as your bet is a winner if St Pats wins or draws. Those are the two most likely outcomes, but the betting odds will not favour a safe play.

Another option for this fixture is handicap betting on the underdogs. Bohemians +1.5 is a winner if there is a draw or a one-goal St Pat’s win. That suits our prediction as both sides are struggling, but the home support could be enough to give an edge.

Where this match will get interesting is after the hour mark. We expect the hosts to capitalise on the final 15 minutes of the first half. This is where the Bohs struggle to hold on, and have shipped 13 goals all season during this period. Live betting on St Patrick’s Athletic to score before halftime is a risky but potentially rewarding market.

This will open the game up for the last half an hour as the visitors will not want to end their season with back-to-back defeats, costing them second place in the league table. Bohs score 45% of their goals in the final 30 minutes and will throw the kitchen sink if they have to. That’s why the handicap is our favourite pick in this fixture, as it offers cover in case of a late equaliser.