Porto v Napoli Prediction
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Betting Tips
Selections suggested by our editorial team
Porto or draw
Porto or the draw is our banker at 82%. Porto have won all five home league games this season and concede only 0.4 a match there. Napoli have lost half of their six away. Covering the draw protects against the sort of cagey European night that cost Porto against PSV.
Porto to win
The straight win carries our model's 61% and fits the likeliest score of 1-0. Porto average 2.5 goals a game and keep clean sheets in 60% of their league matches. Napoli travel without Lobotka, Buongiorno and four others. Porto to win is the value pick on this one.
Napoli +2
Napoli +2 wins on our predicted 1-0, and it also wins on a draw or any Napoli win. It loses only if Porto win by two or more, because a two-goal Porto win is the handicap draw. Porto's last two European games were both settled by a single goal.
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Verified 01/11/2026.
UpcomingMatch result
Total
Other lines (6)
Handicap
Other lines (4)
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Porto v Napoli Key Stats
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Recent Form
v 
Estoril4–0W
v Porto0–1W v 
PSV0–1L
v Porto3–2L
v Porto1–2W
v Napoli2–0L
v Napoli1–4W v 
Roma3–3D v 
Bodø/Glimt4–3W
v Napoli1–0LVerified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st to 19th not shown · 19 clubs | ||||||||||
| 20, Knockout play-off | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | −1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21, Knockout play-off | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | −1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22, Knockout play-off | NapoliAway Napoli is the away team in this article. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | −2 | 3 | LLW |
| 23, Knockout play-off | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | −3 | 3 | LLW |
| 24, Knockout play-off | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | −3 | 3 | LLW |
| 25th to 31st not shown · 7 clubs | ||||||||||
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | −3 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | −4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 | PortoHome Porto is the home team in this article. | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | −4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | LOSC Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | −6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | −12 | 0 | LLL |
UEFA Champions League Table
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Head-to-Head
Last 2 meetings
v Porto2–2 v Napoli1–0Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Team News
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William GomesAnkle sprain rules out the winger, who has two goals and two assists.Verified 02/11Injury
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Vasco SousaBroken fibula keeps the midfielder out, and he has no minutes logged this season.Verified 02/11Injury
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Stanislav LobotkaAnkle injury removes Napoli's midfield anchor, with 628 minutes and a goal this season.Verified 02/11Injury
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Benoît BadiashileHamstring strain leaves Napoli another defender short; he managed 242 minutes this term.Verified 02/11Injury
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Alisson SantosHamstring muscle injury sidelines the attacker after four appearances this season.Verified 02/11Injury
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David NeresHamstring injury rules out Neres, removing one more attacking option from Napoli's bench.Verified 02/11Injury
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Costantino FavasuliHamstring strain costs Napoli a defender who has chipped in with one assist.Verified 02/11Injury
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Alessandro BuongiornoKnee surgery keeps the defender out of contention for this trip to Porto.Verified 02/11Injury
Verified 02/11/2026.
Porto and Napoli Match Preview
Looking at the statistics and form of both teams reveals one likely winner: Porto. Our soccer predictions have the hosts winning 1-0. Our model has 61% on the Portuguese side beating the Italians. A Napoli away win is rated at 18%, making it even less likely than a draw.
The betting odds reflect a Napoli side that has struggled on the road. They have lost three of their last six away league games, including a 2-0 defeat to Juventus. The Italians have two wins, one draw, and two defeats from five games, with 11 scored and 10 conceded. That is usually good watching for the neutral, but the Champions League demands consistency, especially with tricky away days.
The Napoli injury list doesn’t help their case, with six players out, including Lobotka and Buongiorno. While players like Scott McTominay can change a game in an instant, betting on that outcome feels far-fetched this Wednesday.
Porto have demolished local opposition this season but have fallen short in Europe. Two defeats in the last five matches came in the Champions League against PSV at home and Real Betis away. Porto to win or draw is a safe bet, with an 82% chance of success according to our model. However, matches in this competition rarely follow the script.
Over/under betting could be a risk worth taking, with Napoli matches involving large quantities of goals in recent weeks. 4-3 against Bodø/Glimt and a 3-3 draw with Roma both in their five most recent games. On the other hand, the hosts have a firmer defence. Porto have a clean sheet in 60% of their league matches.
One thing to consider before live betting after the hour mark: Porto have not conceded a goal after the 60th minute this season. The Italians struggle in this period, with 54% of conceded goals coming late. If Porto are ahead or level with 30 minutes on the clock, backing them to add another or hold on is what our data suggests.
If you fancy the visitors to get a result in Portugal, handicap betting is the way to go. Napoli +2 provides cover if our prediction is right and Porto win 1-0. It also counts as a winner if the two sides cannot be separated after 90 minutes.
Our online sportsbook has the latest and competitive odds, but that does not mean you should race into a bet. Taking your time to analyse the markets is always the smartest play. Porto win around 7 corners a game against Napoli’s 5.3. Over ten corners in this match could be a good accumulator bet if you don’t fancy calling a winner in this fixture.
Porto v Napoli Key Players
Season figures, 2026/2027.
Five goals and four assists in 648 minutes. Veiga has a hand in nine of Porto's 25 goals, and he does it from midfield.
Five assists across 841 minutes is the best in the squad. Pepê is the supply line Porto's forwards live off.
Napoli's top scorer with four of their 17 goals in only 541 minutes. With Lobotka out, even more will run through him.
Two goals and three assists make Politano Napoli's leading creator. Watch him on the right if Napoli are chasing a late goal.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Goals Per Match
Goals scored and conceded per match. Porto: Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches; Napoli: Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Goals by 15-Minute Period
Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.
Sample: Porto, Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches; Napoli, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Shots and Possession
Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.
Sample: Porto, Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches; Napoli, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score
Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.
| Line | Porto | Napoli | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 80% | 85% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Sample: Porto, Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches; Napoli, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Discipline and Set Pieces
Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.
Sample: Porto, Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches; Napoli, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
Porto v Napoli Runs and Trends
Numbers that capture each club's current form.
Sample: Porto, Liga Portugal · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches; Napoli, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.
Verified 01/11/2026.
UEFA Champions League Fixtures
3 Tuesday November
v 
Stuttgart17:45Preview
v 
Sporting17:45Preview
v 
Villa20:00Preview
v 
Bayern20:00Preview
v 
PSG20:00Preview
v 
Inter20:00Preview v 
Lille20:00Preview
v 
Slovan Bratislava20:00Preview4 Wednesday November
v 
Liverpool17:45
v 
Real Madrid17:45Preview
v 
Man City20:00
v Betis20:00Preview
v 
Sabah20:00Preview v 
Club Brugge20:00Preview
v 
Como20:00PreviewPorto v Napoli Frequently Asked Questions
Porto v Napoli kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 (Ireland Time) at Estádio Do Dragão, in the league phase, Matchday 4 of the UEFA Champions League.
The fixture is live on TNT Sports.
Our prediction is a Porto win, which our model rates at 61% against 18% for Napoli and 21% for the draw. The likeliest score is 1-0, built on Porto's perfect home league record.
Porto are without William Gomes (ankle sprain) and Vasco Sousa (broken fibula). Napoli are missing six players: Lobotka, Buongiorno, Badiashile, Neres, Alisson Santos and Favasuli.
We don't expect a glut. Our 1-0 forecast reflects Porto conceding only 0.4 a game, and the two clubs average 55% for over 2.5 but just 30% for over 3.5. Under 3.5 looks the sensible lean.
