Scotland v Australia Predictions, Betting Tips & H2H 15/11/2026

Scottish rugby fans will be licking their lips at the sight of their next fixture in the Nations Championship. Our rugby predictions have the Scots winning 36-27 against Australia in a fascinating match at Murrayfield. We think, with the home crowd behind them, they will rub salt in the wound of the Wallabies’ recent defeat to England.

Australia is not the side they once were. The team is in a period of transition, and there have been some bright moments in recent months. However, the dark days are not behind them as they slumped 45-22 to an emphatic England at Twickenham. That leaves the Aussies with a 1-4 win record in the competition entering Round 5.

The rugby odds will favour Scotland, given that they beat Australia in the last meeting in 2024. However, the Scots also enter in better form, having alternated wins and defeats in the Nations Championship so far. They beat Argentina and Fiji, but suffered large losses to South Africa and New Zealand.

Our model favours the hosts to win with a 62% chance of victory. This is enormous, especially when you think we are talking about Australia of all countries. But the statistics don’t lie. The Wallabies have lost three in a row and conceded around 46 points per game in that run. The loss to England last week was especially concerning as the Red Roses are also going through a transitional period.

Punters will know just how deep Australia’s woes go. In this competition, they have one win against Italy. Other than that, they lost 31-33 to Ireland in Round 1 and 26-42 a week later against France. This is not a side we would pick to beat a sturdy Scotland, and we expect their Nations Championship odds to continue to tumble.

Consider the total score if you want to avoid betting on a winner. Both sides’ recent three matches have all cleared 45.5 points. Our scoreline prediction has 63 points scored, so you could push for over 55.5 quite comfortably. Betting on the over/under is always a good option when talking about Australia, as they concede a lot and still find tries in every game.

The betting odds also look favourable for Scotland winning this game. If you think Australia will respond to their recent humiliation, you could look at backing them via the handicap. Handicap betting on this event feels like a step too far for us. Scotland -7.5 makes the most sense, but it also carries significant risk. The Wallabies won’t give up, and they could close the gap in the last minutes of the match.

Throughout the history of rugby, Australia has found a way to beat Scotland. However, times are changing, and the Scots look like good value right now. Sure, they fell short against the Springboks and All Blacks, but there’s no shame in that. They were competitive and got the job done against the poorer sides. That’s unfortunately where Australia lands right now. Our prediction for the Wallabies to lose stands; it’s just a question of by how much.