- Advertisement -Novibet

Manchester United v Roma Predictions, Betting Tips and H2H 03/11/2026

Updated Published

 UEFA Champions League · League phase, Matchday 4
Manchester United
Home
LLLDL
VS
20:00
Roma
Roma
Away
WWDWW
Date
Tuesday 3 November 202620:00 hrs
Stadium
Old TraffordManchester
Where to watch
Prime Video

Manchester United v Roma Prediction

Our prediction
Win Manchester United
23%
Draw
20%
Win Roma
57%

Verified 03/11/2026.

Our selections

Manchester United v Roma Betting Tips

Selections suggested by our editorial team

1Double chance

Roma or draw

Roma or draw is our banker. Roma are unbeaten in five, while United have won none of their last five. Our model gives this a 77% chance, and Roma's away record of three wins and two draws without a defeat this season says the visitors are hard to beat on the road.

Confidence
4 of 5
2Goals

Over 2.5 goals

We want goals here. 70% of Roma's matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and they have scored 18 in their last five. United only hit that mark in 33% of theirs, but they have shipped 12 in five games, and our predicted 1-2 clears the line.

Confidence
3 of 5
3Match result

Roma to win

For a bigger price, take Roma outright. Our model makes Roma 57% to win against 23% for United, a 34-point gap. Roma score 2.8 goals a game to United's 1.11 and hit the target 6.3 times per match, so they turn pressure into goals far more reliably.

Confidence
3 of 5

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Verified 03/11/2026.

Finished
Sportsbook odds

Manchester United v Roma Betting Odds

UEFA Champions League · Kick-off 20:00, Tue 3 Nov

Match result

90 minutes · three ways

Total

goals, full time
3.5 goalsMost even line
Other lines (7)
0.5 goals
1.5 goals
2.5 goals
4.5 goals
5.5 goals
6.5 goals
7.5 goals

Handicap

Full time · three ways
-1 / +1Most even line
Other lines (5)
Manchester United -3 · Roma +3
Manchester United -2 · Roma +2
Manchester United +1 · Roma -1
Manchester United +2 · Roma -2
Manchester United +3 · Roma -3
Last odds before kick-off, 19:42, Tue 3 Nov

The match is over. These odds are kept as a record of the pre-match market.

The key numbers

Manchester United v Roma Key Stats

63%
of their last 8 head-to-head meetings ended in a Manchester United win
Head-to-head
2.80
goals scored per away match this season
Roma
70%
of their matches went over 2.5 goals
Roma

Verified 03/11/2026.

Recent form

Manchester United v Roma Recent Form

Last 5 matches
0W, 1D and 4L in 5 matches; 2 goals for and 12 against.
LLLDL
Sun 25 OctManchester UnitedManchester United v AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth0–3Premier LeagueL
Sun 18 OctLeeds UnitedLeeds United v Manchester UnitedManchester United1–1Premier LeagueD
Tue 13 OctAtlético de MadridAtlético de Madrid v Manchester UnitedManchester United2–0UEFA Champions LeagueL
At home · Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 4 matches
4 PL · 1W 1D 2L
LDLW
Roma
Roma
Last 5 matches
4W, 1D and 0L in 5 matches; 18 goals for and 7 against.
WWDWW
Sat 31 OctUdineseUdinese v RomaRoma2–5Serie AW
Tue 27 OctRomaRoma v CagliariCagliari4–2Serie AW
Sat 24 OctNapoliNapoli v RomaRoma3–3Serie AD
Tue 20 OctRomaRoma v Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava4–0UEFA Champions LeagueW
Sat 17 OctRomaRoma v GenoaGenoa2–0Serie AW
Away · Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 5 matches
5 PL · 3W 2D 0L
WDDWW

Verified 03/11/2026.

The table

Manchester United v Roma Standings

League standings
Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1st to 12th not shown · 12 clubs
13, Knockout play-off Borussia Dortmund 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6 WLW
14, Knockout play-off FC Bayern München 3 1 2 0 10 5 +5 5 WDD
15, Knockout play-off RomaAway Roma is the away team in this article. 3 1 1 1 8 5 +3 4 DLW
16, Knockout play-off Atlético de Madrid 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 LWD
17, Knockout play-off Shakhtar Donetsk 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 DWL
18, Knockout play-off PSV 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4 DLW
19, Knockout play-off Villarreal 3 1 0 2 8 8 0 3 LWL
20, Knockout play-off Inter 3 1 0 2 5 6 −1 3 LLW
21, Knockout play-off Manchester UnitedHome Manchester United is the home team in this article. 3 1 0 2 5 6 −1 3 WLL
22, Knockout play-off Napoli 3 1 0 2 5 7 −2 3 LLW
23, Knockout play-off Galatasaray 3 1 0 2 6 9 −3 3 LLW
24th to 36th not shown · 13 clubs
 Knockout play-off AwayRoma HomeManchester UnitedLast five reads oldest to newest

UEFA Champions League Table

Verified 03/11/2026.

Recent history

Manchester United v Roma Head-to-Head

Last 8 meetings

8
Meetings analysed · since 04/2007
5
63% of the total
 Draws
1
13% of the total
 Roma
2
25% of the total

Verified 03/11/2026.

Availability

Manchester United v Roma Team News

Confirmed absences
  • Leny Yoro
    Suspended after a red card, so another centre back has to step in.
    Verified 03/11
    Suspended
  • Patrick Dorgu
    Hamstring injury rules him out, taking away an option at left back.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
  • Benjamin Sesko
    Shin injury keeps him out, leaving United even shorter of goals up front.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
  • Manuel Ugarte
    Cruciate ligament tear means a long absence and no holding midfield cover.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
Probable line-up
4-2-3-1
Senne LammensDiogo DalotNoussair MazraouiMatthijs de LigtHarry MaguireMason MountBruno FernandesMatheus CunhaAndrey SantosYouri TielemansBryan Mbeumo
Roma
Roma
Confirmed absences
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini
    Hamstring strain sidelines him, though he had played only 73 minutes anyway.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
  • Paulo Dybala
    Calf problems rule out Roma's top creator, who has four assists this season.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
  • Manu Koné
    Hamstring muscle injury removes a midfielder with two goals from the engine room.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
  • Mile Svilar
    Broken finger means Pierluigi Gollini takes the gloves in goal for Roma.
    Verified 03/11
    Injury
Probable line-up
3-4-2-1
Pierluigi GolliniMario HermosoLeonardo BalerdiWesleyDaniele GhilardiMarten de RoonNahuel MolinaNiccolò PisilliRodrigo MoraBryan CristanteDonyell Malen

Verified 03/11/2026.

The analysis

Manchester United and Roma Match Preview

The Champions League resumes with Manchester United hosting Roma at Old Trafford. Our soccer predictions will come as no surprise to United fans, as we fancy Roma winning 2-1. Our model gives Man Utd a 23% chance of winning in front of their home fans.

United enter this fixture in freefall. The Red Devils have lost four of their last five games, finding the back of the net twice and conceding 12. They have lost three on the bounce, including a brutal 3-0 thrashing by Bournemouth at home.

Roma arrives full of confidence and is unbeaten in five. They have notched 18 goals in that run, with high-scoring matches against Udinese, Cagliari, and Napoli. Across the season, they are averaging 2.8 goals per game and conceding 1. Compare that to United’s 1.11 and 1.67 let in, and you can see two completely different teams.

Anyone betting on the Champions League would be mad to back United. It’s only a matter of time before the manager merry-go-round continues and Michael Carrick is shown the door. It’s not a lack of effort at this point, with Manchester averaging the same number of shots per game as Roma, with 18 per match. Instead, it comes down to quality.

Roma’s games have gone over 2.5 goals in 70% of their matches. They have also gone over 3.5 goals 60% of the time. United’s games have been far poorer, with over 2.5 being a winning bet 33% of the time.

United’s injury worries only add to the problem, with Yoro out because of a suspension and Ugarte, Sesko, and Dorgu missing through injury. That leaves a team without impact players and quality. Even Bruno Fernandes, one of the best Manchester United players of all time, can’t single-handedly turn this season around. Betting on a 1-2 home defeat is almost generous, as it could be much worse.

Over/under betting could offer some salvation for the Red Devils; that way, fans won’t have to bet on their team losing. Instead, you could go for over 2.5 goals and pray Bryan Mbeumo has his shooting boots on for this match.

The Italian side has the edge on paper, but this is the Champions League. Many times in recent history, the underperforming side in the league has found something when playing in Europe. Carrick needs something this week to avoid another capitulation and hold off the board at least until the weekend. However, we feel this United side will roll over and lose 1-2 at the final whistle.

Players to watch

Manchester United v Roma Key Players

Season figures, 2026/2027.

Bryan Mbeumo
 Attacker · Manchester United
Goals4
Appearances9
Minutes played810

Ever present with 810 minutes, Mbeumo has four of United's ten goals. With Sesko out, the scoring burden lands squarely on him.

Matheus Cunha
 Midfielder · Manchester United
Goals1
Assists2
Appearances9

Cunha leads United for assists with two and has one goal, but he needs to be sharper against a team this hot.

Donyell Malen
 Attacker · Roma
Goals8
Assists1
Appearances9

Eight goals in 575 minutes make Malen joint second in the scoring charts and responsible for 8 of Roma's 28 goals.

Matías Soulé
 Attacker · Roma
Goals3
Assists3
Appearances10

Soulé has three goals and three assists and has played all ten games. With Dybala missing, more creative work falls to him.

Verified 03/11/2026.

Goal output

Manchester United v Roma Goals Per Match

Goals scored and conceded per match. Manchester United: Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Roma: Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.

Scored1.11
Conceded1.67
Roma
Roma
Scored2.8
Conceded1

Verified 03/11/2026.

When goals arrive

Manchester United v Roma Goals by 15-Minute Period

Goals scored and conceded by period · shared scale across both panels.

Scored
Conceded
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
3
4
Roma
Roma
Scored
Conceded
0-15'
4
1
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
5
0
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
4
0
76-90'
8
4

Sample: Manchester United, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Roma, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.

Verified 03/11/2026.

Volume and control

Manchester United v Roma Shots and Possession

Attacking volume, efficiency and control of possession.

Shots per match
18.6
ROM
18.5
Shots on target per match
5.0
ROM
6.3
Average possession
55%
ROM
56%

Sample: Manchester United, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Roma, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.

Verified 03/11/2026.

Goal lines

Manchester United v Roma Goal Lines and Both Teams to Score

Probability of clearing each goal line and of both teams scoring.

Line Manchester United Roma Average
1.5 89%  90%  90%
2.5 33%  70%  52%
3.5 22%  60%  41%
Both teams score 56%  50%  53%

Sample: Manchester United, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Roma, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.

Verified 03/11/2026.

Discipline

Manchester United v Roma Discipline and Set Pieces

Match friction and corner volume, measured per match.

Yellow cards
2.4
MUN
1.8
ROM
Red cards
0.1
MUN
0.1
ROM
Fouls per match
11.1
MUN
11.2
ROM
Corners for
6.1
MUN
5.8
ROM
Corners against
4.1
MUN
3.5
ROM
Appointed referee: Jesús Gil Manzano

Sample: Manchester United, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Roma, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.

Verified 03/11/2026.

Streaks and trends

Manchester United v Roma Runs and Trends

Numbers that capture each club's current form.

Sample: Manchester United, Premier League · 2026/2027 season · 9 matches; Roma, Serie A · 2026/2027 season · 10 matches.

Verified 03/11/2026.

UEFA Champions League Fixtures

League phase, Matchday 4All times are Irish time

3 Tuesday November

GalatasarayGalatasaray v VfB StuttgartStuttgart17:45Preview
ShakhtarShakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CPSporting17:45Preview
BarcelonaFC Barcelona v Aston VillaVilla20:00Preview
FeyenoordFeyenoord v InterInter20:00Preview
LASKLASK v Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava20:00Preview

4 Wednesday November

AEK AthensAEK Athens v Real MadridReal Madrid17:45Preview
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha v ArsenalArsenal20:00Preview
DortmundBorussia Dortmund v Real BetisBetis20:00Preview
VikingViking v SabahSabah20:00Preview
PSVPSV v Club BruggeClub Brugge20:00Preview
LensLens v ComoComo20:00Preview
Quick questions

Manchester United v Roma Frequently Asked Questions

Q
When is Manchester United v Roma?

Manchester United v Roma kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (Ireland Time) at Old Trafford, in the league phase, Matchday 4 of the UEFA Champions League.

Q
Where can you watch Manchester United v Roma live?

The fixture is live on Prime Video.

Q
What is the prediction for Manchester United v Roma?

Our prediction is a Roma win, at 57% against 23% for United, with the draw at 20%. We make 1-2 to Roma the most likely score, backed by Roma's five-game unbeaten run against United's three straight defeats.

Q
Which players will miss Manchester United v Roma?

United are without Leny Yoro (suspended), Patrick Dorgu, Benjamin Sesko and Manuel Ugarte. Roma are missing Paulo Dybala, Manu Koné, Lorenzo Pellegrini and goalkeeper Mile Svilar, all injured.

Q
How many goals are expected in Manchester United v Roma?

Expect goals. Roma's games have gone over 2.5 goals 70% of the time against 33% for United, an average of 52%, and our 1-2 call lands on three goals.

Published Back to the tips
- Advertisement -Novibet

VIEW MORE