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San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Predictions, Betting Tips & H2H 14/11/2026

Published

 NBA · Regular season
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
Home
WWWWW
VS
02:30
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Away
LWWWW
Date
Saturday 14 November 202602:30 hrs
Stadium
Frost Bank Center
Where to watch
NBA League Pass

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Prediction

San Antonio Spurs 60%, Golden State Warriors 40%.

Two-way · no drawVerified 12/11/2026
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs60%
Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors40%
Points score projected by the statistical modelSan Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors119-114

These are our own estimates, not odds.

Our own modelVerified 12/11/2026

Our selections

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Betting Tips

Selections suggested by our editorial team

1Total points

Under 234.5 points

The Spurs have not played in a game over 235.5 points this season, 0 from 11, and our 119-114 projection adds up to 233. The Warriors cleared that mark in only 36% of their games. Meetings between these two have run hot, but this Spurs defence gives up just 107.0 a night.

Confidence
3 of 5
2Handicap

Golden State Warriors +10.5

Our projection has San Antonio winning by five, which leaves this line a healthy cushion. Golden State hit 16.5 threes a game at 40.3%, and that volume keeps them close even when they are not at their best. The six recent meetings split three apiece, though the Spurs won the latest two by 14 and 13.

Confidence
3 of 5
3Money line

San Antonio Spurs to win

Our model gives the Spurs a 60% chance of winning. They are 9-2 this season, unbeaten in five on the road and on a nine-game run. They outrebound the Warriors 49.1 to 44.3 a game and turn it over far less often, 13.0 against 16.5, and that matters in a tight finish.

Confidence
3 of 5

Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.

Verified 12/11/2026.

The key numbers

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Key Stats

118.7
points scored per game
San Antonio Spurs
120.4
points scored per game
Golden State Warriors
236.7
total points per game in their recent meetings
Head-to-head

Verified 12/11/2026.

Recent form

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Recent Form

San Antonio Spurs
Last 5 matches
5-0
WWWWW
Thu 12 NovChicago BullsChicago Bulls v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs119–124NBAW
Tue 10 NovPhoenix SunsPhoenix Suns v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs96–122NBAW
Sun 8 NovPortland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs103–125NBAW
Sat 7 NovSacramento KingsSacramento Kings v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs109–124NBAW
Thu 5 NovSan Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs v Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks112–111NBAW
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Last 5 matches
4-1
LWWWW
Thu 12 NovHouston RocketsHouston Rockets v Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors115–108NBAL
Tue 10 NovGolden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans138–87NBAW
Sun 8 NovGolden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v Orlando MagicOrlando Magic126–119NBAW
Fri 6 NovGolden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v Miami HeatMiami Heat120–100NBAW
Tue 3 NovGolden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns116–113NBAW

Verified 12/11/2026.

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors NBA Standings

San Antonio Spurs sit 2nd in the Western Conference on 10-2; Golden State Warriors are 6th on 8-4.

Sample: regular-season games this season, 11 games
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
2nd in the Western Conference · Southwest 1
10-2
W-L
.833
Win %
10-0
Last ten
W10
Streak
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
6th in the Western Conference · Pacific 2
8-4
W-L
.667
Win %
8-2
Last ten
L1
Streak
Western Conference15 teams
Western Conference
# Team W-L GB Home Away L10 Streak Div Win %
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11-2 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7 1st .846
2 San Antonio SpursHome San Antonio Spurs is the home team in this article. 10-2 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10 1st .833
3 Houston Rockets 9-3 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2 2nd .750
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 8-3 2.0 4-1 4-2 7-3 W4 1st .727
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8-3 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2 2nd .727
6 Golden State WarriorsAway Golden State Warriors is the away team in this article. 8-4 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1 2nd .667
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8-4 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2 3rd .667
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7-4 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1 3rd .636
9th to 15th not shown · 7 teams
 HomeSan Antonio Spurs AwayGolden State Warriors

Sample: regular-season games this season, 11 games

Recent history

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head

Last 6 meetings

6
Meetings analysed · since 03/2025
 San Antonio Spurs
3
50% of the total
 Golden State Warriors
3
50% of the total
2 Apr 2026Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs113–127NBA
12 Feb 2026Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs113–126NBA
15 Nov 2025San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs v Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors108–109NBA
13 Nov 2025San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs v Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors120–125NBA
10 Apr 2025Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors v San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs111–114NBA
30 Mar 2025San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs v Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors106–148NBA

Verified 12/11/2026.

The analysis

San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors Match Preview

Basketball predictions are never straightforward, but this game certainly has a favourite. We predict the San Antonio Spurs will beat the Golden State Warriors 119-114. The Spurs enter this fixture on a winning streak and will hand the Warriors their second defeat in as many days.

San Antonio has remarkable NBA odds right now as they have won 10 games in a row. Golden State was on an eight-game streak until losing to the Rockets in their most recent fixture. That makes for a fascinating game for the neutral, but there is a clear way for the Spurs to beat the Warriors.

The Spurs concede around 107 points per game, four fewer than the Warriors’ 111.2. They also fight hard for the backboard, winning 49.1 rebounds compared to the visitors’ 44.3. However, if you are a fan of basketball, you will know that Golden State excels at three-pointers. Steph Curry is the long-shot king, and he is averaging 30.6 points per game.

However, the Spurs have their own maestro, Victor Wembanyama. He is averaging 30.1 points and 11.9 rebounds each game, and he alone can neutralise the Curry factor. That is why we are leaning towards San Antonio, as they have demonstrated their ability to play as a team for ten matches in a row.

If you want to avoid a wager on the winning team, over/under betting is our pick. Under 234.5 points has landed in 82% of the recent games involving both teams. In fact, there is not a single Spurs match this season which has gone over that line. Our scoreline prediction is 233, which is close. You could go for over if you think the two star players will carry this game.

Handicap betting against an in-form team is tough. Golden State +10.5 is the best bet as that offers significant cover if the teams are within 10 points at the death. However, the Spurs have put up some big wins against the Warriors recently, including 14-point and 13-point wins in 2026. The betting odds will favour a pick on the underdogs, but even this margin might not be enough.

The Warriors started the season slowly but found form at a crucial time. They rode an eight-game win streak until facing the Rockets, losing 115-108. Meanwhile, this Spurs team looks fantastic. They beat the Bulls 124-119 and the Suns 122-96 this week. Betting against a team scoring for fun and winning by significant margins is always a risk not worth taking. No win streak will last forever, but we don’t think the Warriors will be the difference.

Our online sportsbook does have in-play opportunities. The Spurs always start strong, and they have a reputation as a first-half team. However, they have been at their weakest in the fourth quarter, which gives an opportunity for Golden State. Betting on the Warriors to close the gap makes sense, but we don’t see them turning things around. Instead, our predictions of San Antonio building a commanding lead and holding it until the buzzer remain the best bet.

Players to watch

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Key Players

Victor Wembanyama
 Forward · San Antonio Spurs
Points per game30.1
Rebounds per game11.9
De'Aaron Fox
 Guard · San Antonio Spurs
Assists per game5.9
Stephen Curry
 Guard · Golden State Warriors
Points per game30.6
Yaxel Lendeborg
 Forward · Golden State Warriors
Rebounds per game7.0
Draymond Green
 Forward · Golden State Warriors
Assists per game7.6

Verified 12/11/2026.

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Shooting and Box Score

Which side shoots better, and who wins the possession battle?

Sample: regular-season games this season, 12 gamesPer game

Golden State Warriors shoot better from three (39.6% to 34.9%) and from the floor, but San Antonio Spurs pull down 3.2 more rebounds a game.

Three-point percentage
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
34.9%
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
39.6%
Golden State Warriors ahead+4.7%
Field-goal percentage
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
46.5%
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
47.1%
Golden State Warriors ahead+0.6%
Rebounds per game
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
47.8
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
44.6
San Antonio Spurs ahead+3.2
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs Per game Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors
42.7 / 91.8 Field goals made and attempted 40.8 / 86.5
46.5% Field-goal percentage 47.1%
12.3 / 35.3 Three-pointers made and attempted 16.5 / 41.7
34.9% Three-point percentage 39.6%
21.5 / 26.8 Free throws made and attempted 21.3 / 26.3
80.4% Free-throw percentage 81.3%
13.2 Offensive rebounds 12.8
34.6 Defensive rebounds 31.8
47.8 Total rebounds 44.6
27.5 Assists 28.4
8.4 Steals 8.6
7.3 Blocks 5.4
12.4 Turnovers 16.2
20.6 Personal fouls 21.9

Sample: regular-season games this season, 12 games

Scoring output

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Points per Game

Points scored and conceded per game. San Antonio Spurs: sample: 12 games; Golden State Warriors: sample: 12 games.

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
Points scored119.2
Points conceded108
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Points scored119.3
Points conceded111.5

Verified 12/11/2026.

When points arrive

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Points by Quarter

Points scored and conceded by quarter · shared scale across both panels.

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
Scored
Conceded
Q1
30.1
28.6
Q2
32
27.8
Q3
30.7
25.4
Q4
25.4
25.7
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Scored
Conceded
Q1
27.1
29.4
Q2
29.8
24.5
Q3
32.4
30.7
Q4
28.7
26.2

Sample: NBA · 2026-27 season · 12 games per team.

Verified 12/11/2026.

Points markets

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Total Points Lines

Share of games that cleared each total-points line.

Total points line San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors Average
215.5 100%  92%  96%
225.5 58%  58%  58%
235.5 8%  33%  20%

Sample: NBA · 2026-27 season · 12 games per team.

Verified 12/11/2026.

Current form

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Runs and Trends

Numbers that capture each club's current form.

Sample: NBA · 2026-27 season · 5 games per team.

Verified 12/11/2026.

More previews from this week

NBA Fixtures

Regular seasonAll times are Irish time

14 Saturday November

MagicOrlando Magic v Milwaukee BucksBucks00:00Preview
HeatMiami Heat v Cleveland CavaliersCavaliers01:00Preview
BullsChicago Bulls v Atlanta HawksHawks01:00Preview
PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans v Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies01:00Preview
RocketsHouston Rockets v Utah JazzJazz01:30Preview
KingsSacramento Kings v Portland Trail BlazersTrail Blazers03:00Preview
ClippersLA Clippers v Oklahoma City ThunderThunder03:30Preview
Quick questions

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Frequently Asked Questions

Q
When is San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors?

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 02:30 (Ireland Time) at Frost Bank Center, in the regular season of the NBA.

Q
Where can you watch San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors live?

The fixture is live on NBA League Pass.

Q
What is the prediction for San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors?

We lean towards the Spurs. Our model makes them 60% to win against 40% for Golden State, with a projected score of 119-114. Both sides arrive on long winning runs. San Antonio's rebounding and lower turnover count give them the edge, and Golden State +10.5 still looks a solid cover.

Q
How many points are expected in the game?

Our projection points to roughly 233 in total. The Spurs have not played in a game above 235.5 points all season, so we favour Under 234.5. The one warning sign is the head-to-head, where the last six meetings averaged 236.7.

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