

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Prediction
San Antonio Spurs 60%, Golden State Warriors 40%.
San Antonio Spurs60%
Golden State Warriors40%These are our own estimates, not odds.
Our own model Verified 12/11/2026
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Betting Tips
Selections suggested by our editorial team
Under 234.5 points
The Spurs have not played in a game over 235.5 points this season, 0 from 11, and our 119-114 projection adds up to 233. The Warriors cleared that mark in only 36% of their games. Meetings between these two have run hot, but this Spurs defence gives up just 107.0 a night.
Golden State Warriors +10.5
Our projection has San Antonio winning by five, which leaves this line a healthy cushion. Golden State hit 16.5 threes a game at 40.3%, and that volume keeps them close even when they are not at their best. The six recent meetings split three apiece, though the Spurs won the latest two by 14 and 13.
San Antonio Spurs to win
Our model gives the Spurs a 60% chance of winning. They are 9-2 this season, unbeaten in five on the road and on a nine-game run. They outrebound the Warriors 49.1 to 44.3 a game and turn it over far less often, 13.0 against 16.5, and that matters in a tight finish.
Odds can change. Check the sportsbook for the latest odds before you bet.
Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Key Stats
Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Recent Form


Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors NBA Standings
San Antonio Spurs sit 2nd in the Western Conference on 10-2; Golden State Warriors are 6th on 8-4.
| # | Team | W-L | GB | Home | Away | L10 | Streak | Div | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Lakers | 11-2 | – | 5-1 | 6-1 | 8-2 | W7 | 1st | .846 |
| 2 | San Antonio SpursHome San Antonio Spurs is the home team in this article. | 10-2 | 0.5 | 4-2 | 6-0 | 10-0 | W10 | 1st | .833 |
| 3 | Houston Rockets | 9-3 | 1.5 | 6-1 | 3-2 | 7-3 | W2 | 2nd | .750 |
| 4 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 8-3 | 2.0 | 4-1 | 4-2 | 7-3 | W4 | 1st | .727 |
| 5 | Portland Trail Blazers | 8-3 | 2.0 | 3-2 | 5-1 | 7-3 | W2 | 2nd | .727 |
| 6 | Golden State WarriorsAway Golden State Warriors is the away team in this article. | 8-4 | 2.5 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 8-2 | L1 | 2nd | .667 |
| 7 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 8-4 | 2.5 | 5-0 | 3-4 | 6-4 | L2 | 3rd | .667 |
| 8 | Memphis Grizzlies | 7-4 | 3.0 | 2-4 | 5-0 | 6-4 | L1 | 3rd | .636 |
| 9th to 15th not shown · 7 teams | |||||||||
Sample: regular-season games this season, 11 games
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head
Last 6 meetings
Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors Match Preview
Basketball predictions are never straightforward, but this game certainly has a favourite. We predict the San Antonio Spurs will beat the Golden State Warriors 119-114. The Spurs enter this fixture on a winning streak and will hand the Warriors their second defeat in as many days.
San Antonio has remarkable NBA odds right now as they have won 10 games in a row. Golden State was on an eight-game streak until losing to the Rockets in their most recent fixture. That makes for a fascinating game for the neutral, but there is a clear way for the Spurs to beat the Warriors.
The Spurs concede around 107 points per game, four fewer than the Warriors’ 111.2. They also fight hard for the backboard, winning 49.1 rebounds compared to the visitors’ 44.3. However, if you are a fan of basketball, you will know that Golden State excels at three-pointers. Steph Curry is the long-shot king, and he is averaging 30.6 points per game.
However, the Spurs have their own maestro, Victor Wembanyama. He is averaging 30.1 points and 11.9 rebounds each game, and he alone can neutralise the Curry factor. That is why we are leaning towards San Antonio, as they have demonstrated their ability to play as a team for ten matches in a row.
If you want to avoid a wager on the winning team, over/under betting is our pick. Under 234.5 points has landed in 82% of the recent games involving both teams. In fact, there is not a single Spurs match this season which has gone over that line. Our scoreline prediction is 233, which is close. You could go for over if you think the two star players will carry this game.
Handicap betting against an in-form team is tough. Golden State +10.5 is the best bet as that offers significant cover if the teams are within 10 points at the death. However, the Spurs have put up some big wins against the Warriors recently, including 14-point and 13-point wins in 2026. The betting odds will favour a pick on the underdogs, but even this margin might not be enough.
The Warriors started the season slowly but found form at a crucial time. They rode an eight-game win streak until facing the Rockets, losing 115-108. Meanwhile, this Spurs team looks fantastic. They beat the Bulls 124-119 and the Suns 122-96 this week. Betting against a team scoring for fun and winning by significant margins is always a risk not worth taking. No win streak will last forever, but we don’t think the Warriors will be the difference.
Our online sportsbook does have in-play opportunities. The Spurs always start strong, and they have a reputation as a first-half team. However, they have been at their weakest in the fourth quarter, which gives an opportunity for Golden State. Betting on the Warriors to close the gap makes sense, but we don’t see them turning things around. Instead, our predictions of San Antonio building a commanding lead and holding it until the buzzer remain the best bet.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Key Players
Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Shooting and Box Score
Which side shoots better, and who wins the possession battle?
Golden State Warriors shoot better from three (39.6% to 34.9%) and from the floor, but San Antonio Spurs pull down 3.2 more rebounds a game.
San Antonio Spurs |
Per game | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 42.7 / 91.8 | Field goals made and attempted | 40.8 / 86.5 |
| 46.5% | Field-goal percentage | 47.1% |
| 12.3 / 35.3 | Three-pointers made and attempted | 16.5 / 41.7 |
| 34.9% | Three-point percentage | 39.6% |
| 21.5 / 26.8 | Free throws made and attempted | 21.3 / 26.3 |
| 80.4% | Free-throw percentage | 81.3% |
| 13.2 | Offensive rebounds | 12.8 |
| 34.6 | Defensive rebounds | 31.8 |
| 47.8 | Total rebounds | 44.6 |
| 27.5 | Assists | 28.4 |
| 8.4 | Steals | 8.6 |
| 7.3 | Blocks | 5.4 |
| 12.4 | Turnovers | 16.2 |
| 20.6 | Personal fouls | 21.9 |
Sample: regular-season games this season, 12 games
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Points per Game
Points scored and conceded per game. San Antonio Spurs: sample: 12 games; Golden State Warriors: sample: 12 games.


Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Points by Quarter
Points scored and conceded by quarter · shared scale across both panels.


Sample: NBA · 2026-27 season · 12 games per team.
Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Total Points Lines
Share of games that cleared each total-points line.
| Total points line | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 215.5 | 100% | 92% | 96% |
| 225.5 | 58% | 58% | 58% |
| 235.5 | 8% | 33% | 20% |
Sample: NBA · 2026-27 season · 12 games per team.
Verified 12/11/2026.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Runs and Trends
Numbers that capture each club's current form.


Sample: NBA · 2026-27 season · 5 games per team.
Verified 12/11/2026.
NBA Fixtures
Regular seasonAll times are Irish time
14 Saturday November
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors Frequently Asked Questions
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 02:30 (Ireland Time) at Frost Bank Center, in the regular season of the NBA.
The fixture is live on NBA League Pass.
We lean towards the Spurs. Our model makes them 60% to win against 40% for Golden State, with a projected score of 119-114. Both sides arrive on long winning runs. San Antonio's rebounding and lower turnover count give them the edge, and Golden State +10.5 still looks a solid cover.
Our projection points to roughly 233 in total. The Spurs have not played in a game above 235.5 points all season, so we favour Under 234.5. The one warning sign is the head-to-head, where the last six meetings averaged 236.7.



















